Match Info

Stars League - Round 29

Date: 22 April 2025, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Iraq	Almanasa, Iraqia Syriac


	Naft Al-Basra		Al-Minaa

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.9	2.49
	2.85	2.8	2.65
	2.81	2.91	2.57	Watch
	2.81	2.88	2.46	Watch
	2.8	2.9	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↓ (2.85)	2.88 ↓ (3.07)	2.53 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naft Al-Basra
32.4%

Draw
31.7%

Al-Minaa
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

29.6%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

29.8%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naft Al-Basra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Al-Minaa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naft Al-Basra than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Minaa than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Naft Al Basra - Al Minaa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 0 - 1, Kisinda T. ⚽,
64', Ouro-Agoro I. 🟥,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Naft Al-Basra won 1.

Naft Al-Basra has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Al-Minaa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Al-Minaa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Naft Al-Basra won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2:6 (average 0.3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Naft Al-Basra won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naft Al-Basra
Iraqi Premier League
18.04.25	Naft Al-Basra - Al-Qasim	2:2 ✺
12.04.25	Al-Kahraba - Naft Al-Basra	2:0 ✺
08.04.25	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Naft Al-Basra	3:1 ✺
03.04.25	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Naft Al-Basra	2:1 ✺
30.03.25	Naft Al-Basra - Naft Maysan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLL
- Al-Minaa
Iraqi Premier League
17.04.25	Al-Minaa - Al-Shorta Baghdad	0:1 ✺
02.04.25	Newroz - Al-Minaa	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Al-Minaa - Al-Naft	2:0 ✺
12.03.25	Al-Minaa - Najaf	1:1 ✺
07.03.25	Arbil - Al-Minaa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
13.01.25	Al-Minaa - Naft Al-Basra	2:0
01.04.24	Naft Al-Basra - Al-Minaa	0:1
22.12.23	Al-Minaa - Naft Al-Basra	1:1
14.02.22	Al-Minaa - Naft Al-Basra	0:1
17.02.20	Al-Minaa - Naft Al-Basra	1:0
22.11.18	Al-Minaa - Naft Al-Basra	1:0

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