Match Info
Stars League - Round 28Date: 18 April 2025, FridayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Iraq | Al Iraqiya Sports, Almanasa |
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Naft Al-Basra |
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Al-Qasim |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.55 |
2.75 |
2.75 |
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 |
2.75 |
2.75 |
2.7 |
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 |
2.97 |
2.65 |
2.69 |
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 |
2.89 |
2.74 |
2.65 |
 Watch |
 |
2.8 |
2.76 |
2.56 |
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 |
2.75 |
2.75 |
2.7 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.79 ↑
(2.55) |
2.73 ↓
(2.75) |
2.68 ↓
(2.75) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Naft Al-Basra
32.7% | Draw
33.3% | Al-Qasim
34% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Naft Al-Basra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Al-Qasim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naft Al-Basra than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Qasim than the current prediction. (-2.7%)Naft Al Basra - Al Qasim Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 26', 0 - 1, Georgev Igor O. J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 53', 0 - 2, Georgev Igor O. J. ⚽,
- 57', 1 - 2, Ouro-Agoro I. ⚽,
- 83', 2 - 2, Malek H. (Pen),
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 and 6). Naft Al-Basra has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0). Al-Qasim is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3). Naft Al-Basra could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents. Recently Naft Al-Basra have a series of guest games. In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Naft Al-Basra won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.3:1.3). Including matches at home between the teams Naft Al-Basra won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2
Last Results with these Odds
Al-Qasim - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 32.48%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Iraqi Premier League | | | 25.01.25 | Al-Qasim - Naft Al-Basra | 2:1 | | 22.06.24 | Naft Al-Basra - Al-Qasim | 0:2 | | 10.11.23 | Al-Qasim - Naft Al-Basra | 0:0 |
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