Match Info

IRAQ: Stars League - Round 17

Date: 29 January 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Iraq	Almanasa


	Naft Al-Basra		Diyala

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.55	3.6
	2.22	2.48	4.33
	2.24	2.57	3.97	Watch
	2.15	2.53	4.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.57)	2.53 ↓ (2.98)	4.03 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naft Al-Basra
41.4%

Draw
36%

Diyala
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

30.6%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

29.5%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naft Al-Basra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Naft Al-Basra's performance.

Diyala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Diyala might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naft Al-Basra than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diyala than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Diyala could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Naft Al Basra - Diyala Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+2', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naft Al-Basra
Iraqi Premier League
25.01.25	Al-Qasim - Naft Al-Basra	2:1 ✺
20.01.25	Naft Al-Basra - Zakho	2:3 ✺
13.01.25	Al-Minaa - Naft Al-Basra	2:0 ✺
09.01.25	Naft Al-Basra - Newroz	2:0 ✺
02.01.25	Duhok - Naft Al-Basra	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLLWL
- Diyala SC
Iraqi Premier League
23.01.25	Diyala - Al-Zawraa	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Diyala - Al-Karma	0:0 ✺
13.01.25	Al-Hudood - Diyala	1:0 ✺
09.01.25	Diyala - Zakho	1:4 ✺
03.01.25	Newroz - Diyala	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 TTLLL

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