Match Info

IRAQ: Stars League - Round 20

Date: 13 February 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Al-Karkh		Naft Al-Basra

	1	X	2
	2.01	2.9	3.85
	1.94	3.04	4.15
	1.93	3.05	4.13	Watch
	1.92	3.02	4.05	Watch
	2.01	2.9	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.12)	2.98 ↑ (2.7)	4.01 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Karkh
46.6%

Draw
30.6%

Naft Al-Basra
22.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.8%

33.6%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

33%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Karkh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Naft Al-Basra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Karkh than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naft Al-Basra than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Al Karkh - Naft Al Basra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+3', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 15 and 17).

Al-Karkh is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Naft Al-Basra is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Naft Al-Basra could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Al-Karkh will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Al-Karkh won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:4 (average 0.6:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Karkh won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Karkh
Iraqi Premier League
08.02.25	Al-Karkh - Diyala	3:1 ✺
04.02.25	Najaf - Al-Karkh	0:1 ✺
30.01.25	Al-Karkh - Al-Hudood	1:1 ✺
23.01.25	Al-Karma - Al-Karkh	0:1 ✺
19.01.25	Al-Karkh - Arbil	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.2 WWTWL
- Naft Al-Basra
Iraqi Premier League
09.02.25	Naft Al-Basra - Al-Hudood	3:1 ✺
29.01.25	Naft Al-Basra - Diyala	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Al-Qasim - Naft Al-Basra	2:1 ✺
20.01.25	Naft Al-Basra - Zakho	2:3 ✺
13.01.25	Al-Minaa - Naft Al-Basra	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
21.09.24	Naft Al-Basra - Al-Karkh	1:0
05.07.24	Al-Karkh - Naft Al-Basra	1:0
11.07.23	Al-Karkh - Naft Al-Basra	1:0
20.09.21	Al-Karkh - Naft Al-Basra	1:2
30.01.21	Naft Al-Basra - Al-Karkh	1:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Karkh
Iraqi Premier League
31.10.26	Al-Karkh - Al-Gharraf	✺

Al-Karkh - Naft Al-Basra