Match Info

Stars League - Round 18

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday


	Naft Maysan		Al-Qasim

	1	X	2
	1.42	3.95	6.5
	1.4	4	6.86
	1.4	4.22	6.99	Watch
	1.4	3.75	6.5
	1.42	4	6.78
	1.38	4.2	6.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.34)	4.02 ↓ (4.52)	6.72 ↓ (8.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naft Maysan
64.2%

Draw
22.4%

Al-Qasim
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.4%

20.3%

11.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

13%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naft Maysan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Al-Qasim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naft Maysan than the current prediction. (-20.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Naft Maysan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Qasim than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Naft Maysan - Al Qasim Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Olatunji D. 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
80', 1 - 0, Abdul F. ⚽,
88', 1 - 1, Kareem A. ⚽,
90+8', 2 - 1, Salam M. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Naft Maysan is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Al-Qasim has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Naft Maysan is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Naft Maysan won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Naft Maysan won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Naft Missan	8	1	4	3	6:11	-5	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naft Maysan
Iraqi Premier League
06.02.26	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Naft Maysan	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Naft Maysan - Al-Kahraba	0:2 ✺
27.01.26	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Naft Maysan	2:1 ✺
23.01.26	Al-Naft - Naft Maysan	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Naft Maysan - Zakho	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LLLWL
- Al-Qasim SC
Iraqi Premier League
05.02.26	Najaf - Al-Qasim	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Al-Qasim - Duhok	0:3 ✺
28.01.26	Al-Qasim - Al Mosul	2:3 ✺
22.01.26	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Al-Qasim	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Al-Qasim - Newroz	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
03.05.25	Naft Maysan - Al-Qasim	0:1
22.09.24	Al-Qasim - Naft Maysan	1:2
30.04.24	Naft Maysan - Al-Qasim	2:2
04.12.23	Al-Qasim - Naft Maysan	0:3

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