Match Info

Stars League - Round 15

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Iraq	Iraqia Syriac


	Al-Qasim		Al Mosul

	1	X	2
	6.5	3.6	1.47
	6.72	3.65	1.46
	7.14	4.02	1.42	Watch
	7	3.3	1.44
	7.95	3.62	1.43	Watch
	6.66	3.66	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	7 ↑ (4.74)	3.64 ↑ (3.45)	1.45 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Qasim
12.9%

Draw
24.7%

Al Mosul
62.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.3%

26.5%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

23.2%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Qasim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Qasim's form might have worsened.

Al Mosul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al Mosul's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Qasim than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Qasim, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Mosul than the current prediction. (-14.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al Mosul, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Al Qasim - Al Mosul Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
28', 1 - 0, Sou E. ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Al Dali A. (Penalty Awarded),
45+1', 1 - 2, Ghazi I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
66', 1 - 3, Al Dali A. ⚽, Mohsen S. (A),
90+4', 2 - 3, Sou E. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Al-Qasim has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Al Mosul is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Al Mosul is considered a favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Al Mosul	9	2	2	5	9:15	-6	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Qasim SC
Iraqi Premier League
22.01.26	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Al-Qasim	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Al-Qasim - Newroz	0:3 ✺
13.01.26	Al-Karma - Al-Qasim	1:0 ✺
08.01.26	Al-Qasim - Al-Shorta Baghdad	1:7 ✺
30.12.25	Diyala - Al-Qasim	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Al Mosul SC
Iraqi Premier League
23.01.26	Al-Kahraba - Al Mosul	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Al Mosul - Al-Karma	1:3 ✺
13.01.26	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al Mosul	3:0 ✺
08.01.26	Al Mosul - Arbil	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	Al-Karkh - Al Mosul	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLLT

Al-Qasim - Al Mosul: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide