Match Info

Stars League - Round 21

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday


	Naft Maysan		Amanat Baghdad

	1	X	2
	2.22	3	3
	2.36	2.85	3.02
	2.36	2.95	3.03
	2.3	2.7	3
	2.41	3.34	2.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.18)	2.97 ↓ (3.2)	2.97 ↓ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naft Maysan
38.9%

Draw
30.6%

Amanat Baghdad
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

28.2%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

27.2%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naft Maysan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Amanat Baghdad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naft Maysan than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amanat Baghdad than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Naft Maysan - Amanat Baghdad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, El Keraa K. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Mutar H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
82', 2 - 1, Sioud N. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Stars League (Relegation) and 16).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Naft Maysan is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Naft Maysan won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Naft Maysan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Naft Missan	8	1	4	3	6:11	-5	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naft Maysan
Iraqi Premier League
28.02.26	Naft Maysan - Al-Talaba	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Al-Karma - Naft Maysan	3:0 ✺
14.02.26	Naft Maysan - Al-Qasim	2:1 ✺
06.02.26	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Naft Maysan	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Naft Maysan - Al-Kahraba	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLWLL
- Amanat Baghdad
Iraqi Premier League
01.03.26	Amanat Baghdad - Al-Naft	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Al-Kahraba - Amanat Baghdad	5:0 ✺
06.02.26	Amanat Baghdad - Al-Minaa	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Amanat Baghdad - Arbil	1:1 ✺
26.01.26	Al-Gharraf - Amanat Baghdad	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
05.10.25	Amanat Baghdad - Naft Maysan	4:1
31.03.24	Amanat Baghdad - Naft Maysan	1:1
04.05.22	Amanat Baghdad - Naft Maysan	0:0
09.02.21	Naft Maysan - Amanat Baghdad	1:0

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