Match Info

Stars League - Round 19

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Al-Karma		Naft Maysan

	1	X	2
	1.43	3.65	7.3
	1.4	4.13	7.48	Watch
	1.4	3.6	7.5
	1.44	4.15	7.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.51)	3.88 ↑ (3.65)	7.43 ↑ (6.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Karma
64.3%

Draw
23.5%

Naft Maysan
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

25.1%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

24.1%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Karma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Naft Maysan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Karma than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naft Maysan than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Al Karma - Naft Maysan Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Karma (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Al-Karma (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Karma (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
56', 1 - 0, Al Yahmadi J. ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 0, Tiago Leonco (Penalty Awarded),
90+5', Outtara S. 🟥,
90+9', 3 - 0, Tiago Leonco ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 and 17).

Al-Karma is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In recent matches, Naft Maysan has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Al-Karma is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Al-Karma won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Al-Karma won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Naft Missan	8	1	4	3	6:11	-5	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Karma SC
Iraqi Premier League
14.02.26	Diyala - Al-Karma	1:1 ✺
05.02.26	Al-Karma - Al-Talaba	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Al-Karma - Al-Karkh	1:1 ✺
27.01.26	Newroz - Al-Karma	0:1 ✺
22.01.26	Al-Karma - Amanat Baghdad	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TTTWW
- Naft Maysan
Iraqi Premier League
14.02.26	Naft Maysan - Al-Qasim	2:1 ✺
06.02.26	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Naft Maysan	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Naft Maysan - Al-Kahraba	0:2 ✺
27.01.26	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Naft Maysan	2:1 ✺
23.01.26	Al-Naft - Naft Maysan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
20.02.25	Naft Maysan - Al-Karma	3:2
06.12.24	Al-Karma - Naft Maysan	1:2

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