Match Info

Stars League - Round 17

Date: 6 February 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Iraq	Al Iraqiya Sports


	Amanat Baghdad		Al-Minaa

	1	X	2
	2.52	2.82	2.72
	2.57	2.73	2.75
	2.59	2.88	2.78
	2.5	2.7	2.7
	2.56	2.8	2.74	Watch
	2.5	3	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.53)	2.82 ↓ (3.07)	2.73 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amanat Baghdad
35.3%

Draw
31.8%

Al-Minaa
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

30%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

30.5%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amanat Baghdad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Al-Minaa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amanat Baghdad than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Minaa than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Amanat Baghdad - Al Minaa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
71', Qasem M. 🟥,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amanat Baghdad won 2.

Amanat Baghdad is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Al-Minaa's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Al-Minaa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Amanat Baghdad won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 0.8:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Amanat Baghdad won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Al Minaa	8	2	3	3	8:10	-2	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amanat Baghdad
Iraqi Premier League
31.01.26	Amanat Baghdad - Arbil	1:1 ✺
26.01.26	Al-Gharraf - Amanat Baghdad	3:2 ✺
22.01.26	Al-Karma - Amanat Baghdad	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	Amanat Baghdad - Al-Karkh	1:1 ✺
13.01.26	Amanat Baghdad - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLLTL
- Al-Minaa
Iraqi Premier League
01.02.26	Zakho - Al-Minaa	1:1 ✺
28.01.26	Al-Minaa - Al-Naft	0:0 ✺
23.01.26	Al-Minaa - Al-Shorta Baghdad	1:1 ✺
19.01.26	Al-Talaba - Al-Minaa	1:2 ✺
14.01.26	Al-Minaa - Al-Karkh	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.9 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
21.05.24	Al-Minaa - Amanat Baghdad	0:2
05.03.24	Amanat Baghdad - Al-Minaa	0:1
28.05.22	Amanat Baghdad - Al-Minaa	0:1
29.12.20	Al-Minaa - Amanat Baghdad	0:1
19.07.19	Al-Minaa - Amanat Baghdad	1:1
03.11.13	Amanat Baghdad - Al-Minaa	1:0

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