Match Info

SLOVENIA: Prva liga - Round 25

Date: 13 March 2025, Thursday

Location: Športni park Lendava (Lendava)

Referee: Vincic S. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Sportklub 2
Croatia	SportKlub 2
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Serbia	SportKlub 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 1


	Nafta		Domžale

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.4	3.6
	2.21	3.15	3.2
	2.38	3.13	3.22
	2.31	3.23	3.11
	2.25	3	3.1
	2.37	3.56	2.74	Watch
	2.21	3.15	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.27)	3.23 ↓ (3.48)	3.17 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nafta
41.7%

Draw
28.8%

Domžale
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

26.6%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

25.6%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nafta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Domžale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nafta than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Domžale than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	16.7%	25%

Nafta - Domžale Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Nafta will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Domžale will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nafta: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Mauricio Z. (G) 2. Pirtovsek R. 4. Lesjak Z. 22. Tojcic K. 98. Dragoner A. 3. Marinic A. 17. Csoka D. 6. Hrka D. 18. Pihler A. 50. Spoljaric J. 77. Szalay S.	1. Stubljar L. (G) 2. Hrvatin R. 40. Hempt L. 5. Lampreht R. 4. Vujcic N. 66. Kambic L. 36. Kranjcic G. 55. Lorber M. 8. Jenjic B. 10. Vuckic H. (C) 7. Sturm D.
Substitutes
8. Bozickovic L. 10. Brkic D. 26. Georgievski H. 23. Kalnoki-Kis Z. 25. Kljun T. 90. Senko Z. (G) 19. Sintic B. 12. Skrbic M. (G)	97. Baruca L. 15. Dovzan Karahodzic L. 21. Feta B. 44. Grajfoner L. 27. Lazarevic D. 19. Milic N. 11. Mlakar L. 86. Prodanovic R. 80. Tolic T. 25. Vodisek R. (G)
Coaches
Bozsik J.	Doncic D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Hrka D. ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, Vuckic H. ⚽, Kambic L. (A),
27', 2 - 1, Dragoner A. ⚽, Csoka D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Jenjic B. ↓, Mlakar L. ↑,
48', Mauricio Z. 🟨,
48', 2 - 2, Sturm D. (Pen),
67', Lorber M. ↓, Baruca L. ↑,
78', Lampreht R. 🟨,
79', Pirtovsek R. 🟨,
79', Csoka D. ↓, Brkic D. ↑,
84', 3 - 2, Hempt L. (Own goal),
85', Vuckic H. ↓, Dovzan Karahodzic L. ↑,
87', Spoljaric J. ↓, Kalnoki-Kis Z. ↑,
90+5', Kalnoki-Kis Z. 🟨,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 9 in the zone Prva liga (Relegation) and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. SNL).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Nafta have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Nafta won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 2:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Nafta won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 2.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Nafta - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 40.82%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Nafta 1903
Slovenian PrvaLiga
08.03.25	NK Bravo - Nafta	1:1 ✺
Slovenian Cup
05.03.25	Čarda Martjanci - Nafta	1:2 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
01.03.25	Koper - Nafta	0:0 ✺
21.02.25	Nafta - Primorje	2:2 ✺
16.02.25	Olimpija Ljubljana - Nafta	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TWTTL
- NK Domžale
Slovenian PrvaLiga
08.03.25	Domžale - Koper	2:3 ✺
05.03.25	Domžale - Olimpija Ljubljana	3:1 ✺
01.03.25	Primorje - Domžale	0:1 ✺
17.02.25	Radomlje - Domžale	1:0 ✺
08.02.25	Domžale - Mura	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian PrvaLiga
23.11.24	Domžale - Nafta	2:1
30.08.24	Nafta - Domžale	5:2
17.05.12	Nafta - Domžale	N/A

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