Match Info

Prva liga - Round 11

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Športni park Lendava (Lendava) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Sabanagic D. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Croatia	15:00	SportKlub 9
Slovenia	15:00	SportKlub 1


	Nafta		NK Bravo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	3.40	2.50
	2.48	3.30	2.38	Watch
	2.67	3.65	2.55
	2.45	3.61	2.64	Watch
	2.60	3.45	2.50
	2.50	3.58	2.56	Watch
	2.47	3.40	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.43)	3.48 ↓ (3.58)	2.52 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nafta
36.7%

Draw
26.5%

NK Bravo
36.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.4%

26.1%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

26%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nafta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

NK Bravo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nafta than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NK Bravo than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Nafta - NK Bravo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Erjavsek L. (G) 98. Dragoner A. 20. Ferreira A. 41. Lavrencic K. 17. Marosa A. 21. Omrani S. 18. Pihler A. (C) 2. Pirtovsek R. 33. Poredos L. 30. Vidnyanszky M. 7. Zorica J.	77. Rozman M. (G) 17. Arinze J. 4. Brunnhofer J. 6. Ficko J. 24. Jovan G. 11. Mazie O. 8. Nuhanovic S. (C) 68. Nzuzi M. 28. Olanrewaju M. 21. Stravs L. 33. Tucic M.
Substitutes
16. Bobson D. 90. Jamiu U. 23. Kambic L. 99. Micic A. 89. Nemeth E. (G) 8. Ogwuche M. 10. Pihler L. 19. Sarr A.	95. Fogec M. 5. Halilou I. 9. Jakupovic A. 40. Malensek M. 22. Maticic B. (G) 2. Parra R. 75. Pecar A.
Coaches
Escudero G.	Arnol A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Nuhanovic S. (Penalty Awarded),
35', 1 - 0, Marosa A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
70', Olanrewaju M. ↓, Parra R. ↑,
70', Arinze J. ↓, Malensek M. ↑,
70', Tucic M. ↓, Jakupovic A. ↑,
75', Zorica J. 🟨,
76', Mazie O. ↓, Pecar A. ↑,
76', Brunnhofer J. ↓, Halilou I. ↑,
80', Vidnyanszky M. ↓, Pihler L. ↑,
87', Marosa A. ↓, Bobson D. ↑,
89', Ficko J. 🟨,
90+4', Omrani S. ↓, Ogwuche M. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 7th and 3rd in the Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nafta won 1.

Nafta has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Bravo is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Bravo may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Nafta has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:14 (averaging 0.9:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Nafta against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 4:6 goals (averaging 1:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Bravo	12	5	4	3	14:13	1	19
5	Nafta	12	5	2	5	18:16	2	17

Last Results with these Odds

NK Bravo - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 35.5%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Nafta 1903
Slovenian PrvaLiga
19.09.26	Koper - Nafta	2:0 ✺
11.09.26	Brinje-Grosuplje - Nafta	1:2 ✺
04.09.26	Nafta - Radomlje	3:1 ✺
30.08.26	Nafta - Maribor	2:3 ✺
21.08.26	Olimpija Ljubljana - Nafta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWWLL
- NK Bravo
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Gorica - NK Bravo	3:3 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
20.09.26	NK Bravo - Olimpija Ljubljana	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	NK Bravo - Celje	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Aluminij Kidricevo - NK Bravo	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	NK Bravo - Mura	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian PrvaLiga
26.07.26	NK Bravo - Nafta	0:3
Slovenian Cup
12.03.26	NK Bravo - Nafta	2:0
Slovenian PrvaLiga
02.05.25	Nafta - NK Bravo	0:1
Slovenian Cup
02.04.25	Nafta - NK Bravo	2:3 penalties
Slovenian PrvaLiga
08.03.25	NK Bravo - Nafta	1:1
09.11.24	Nafta - NK Bravo	0:1
26.08.24	NK Bravo - Nafta	2:0

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