Match Info

Prva liga - Relegation - Final

Date: 27 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Nogometni stadion Ajdovščina (Ajdovščina)

Referee: Smajc D. (Slo)


	Primorje		Nafta

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.52	3.35	2.52	Watch
	2.58	3.48	2.71
	2.58	3.8	2.38	Watch
	2.45	3.2	2.5
	2.43	3.34	2.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.43)	3.43 ↑ (3.21)	2.52 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Primorje
36.7%

Draw
26.8%

Nafta
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

29.1%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

29.4%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Primorje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Nafta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Primorje than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nafta than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Primorje - Nafta Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Primorje will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Nafta will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Mohorovic P. (G) 88. Bagnack M. 17. Besir Z. 6. Ficko J. 21. Jermol N. 28. Jovanovic S. 99. Kadric H. 4. Klemencic T. 7. Murillo R. 13. Petek G. 33. Strajnar M.	1. Erjavsek L. (G) 67. Bakti B. 98. Dragoner A. 29. Gorenc Stankovic T. 23. Kambic L. 24. Marinic J. 17. Marosa A. 18. Pihler A. (C) 10. Pihler L. 2. Pirtovsek R. 4. Verbic L.
Substitutes
2. Bameyi D. 8. Demirovic E. 3. Fogec M. 9. Gulic M. 22. Macan T. (G) 1. Mavric M. (G) 80. Mutavcic M. 11. Parmac M. 14. Prosen N. 31. Rafiu I. 32. Rak N. 10. Zavnik M.	11. Jasaragic A. 41. Lavrencic K. 22. Nemeth E. (G) 8. Ogwuche M. 33. Poredos L. 90. Tavares M. 7. Zorica J.
Coaches
Zlogar A.	Bozsik J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Jovanovic S. 🟨,
34', Besir Z. ↓, Zavnik M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Verbic L. 🟨,
57', Bagnack M. 🟨,
60', Pihler L. ↓, Zorica J. ↑,
65', Bakti B. ↓, Jasaragic A. ↑,
75', Murillo R. ↓, Rafiu I. ↑,
75', Jovanovic S. ↓, Fogec M. ↑,
76', Bagnack M. ↓, Bameyi D. ↑,
81', Ficko J. ↓, Demirovic E. ↑,
82', Zorica J. 🟨,
88', Pihler A. 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Primorje won 1.

Primorje has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Nafta is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Primorje won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Primorje won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).

Outrights of Slovenian PrvaLiga for now

Nafta: 1.7%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Nafta	10	4	1	5	17:16	1	13

Last Results with these Odds

Primorje - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 38.45%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ND Primorje
Slovenian PrvaLiga
22.05.26	Primorje - Celje	0:4 ✺
16.05.26	Aluminij Kidricevo - Primorje	0:0 ✺
10.05.26	Primorje - Mura	0:2 ✺
02.05.26	Olimpija Ljubljana - Primorje	3:0 ✺
26.04.26	Primorje - Radomlje	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLLL
- NK Nafta 1903
Slovenian 2 SNL
22.05.26	Nafta - Triglav	1:1 ✺
17.05.26	Brinje-Grosuplje - Nafta	2:1 ✺
10.05.26	Nafta - Beltinci	2:1 ✺
06.05.26	Bilje - Nafta	0:1 ✺
30.04.26	Ilirija Ljubljana - Nafta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian PrvaLiga
19.04.25	Primorje - Nafta	2:2
21.02.25	Nafta - Primorje	2:2
26.10.24	Primorje - Nafta	1:1
10.08.24	Nafta - Primorje	0:3
Slovenian 2 SNL
16.03.24	Nafta - Primorje	2:0
02.09.23	Primorje - Nafta	3:0
13.11.22	Nafta - Primorje	2:4

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