Match Info

2. SNL - Round 9

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Športni park Lendava (Lendava)


	Nafta		Tabor Sežana

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.3	3.3
	1.92	3.4	3.35
	2.2	2.84	3.35
	1.94	3.36	3.51
	1.93	3.45	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.78)	3.27 ↓ (3.58)	3.38 ↓ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nafta
45.6%

Draw
27.7%

Tabor Sežana
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

25.4%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

23.8%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nafta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nafta's form might have worsened.

Tabor Sežana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nafta than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nafta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tabor Sežana than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Nafta - Tabor Sežana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
66', 1 - 1, ⚽,
73', 2 - 1, ⚽,
84', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Prva liga (Promotion: ) and 3).

Both teams have recently enjoyed a winning streak.

Nafta could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nafta won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Nafta won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Nafta 1903
Slovenian 2 SNL
27.09.25	Jadran Dekani - Nafta	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Nafta - Jesenice	5:1 ✺
13.09.25	Krško - Nafta	0:2 ✺
06.09.25	Nafta - Gorica	1:0 ✺
01.09.25	Dravinja - Nafta	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWWT
- Tabor Sežana
Slovenian 2 SNL
28.09.25	Tabor Sežana - Bistrica	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Tabor Sežana - Ilirija Ljubljana	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Jadran Dekani - Tabor Sežana	0:3 ✺
06.09.25	Tabor Sežana - Jesenice	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Krško - Tabor Sežana	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 2 SNL
22.03.24	Tabor Sežana - Nafta	0:4
09.09.23	Nafta - Tabor Sežana	0:0
15.05.19	Tabor Sežana - Nafta	2:1
27.10.18	Nafta - Tabor Sežana	0:1
11.04.18	Nafta - Tabor Sežana	3:1

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