Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 10

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Nagano U Stadium (Nagano)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan


	Nagano Parceiro		Júbilo Iwata

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.55	3.5	1.65	Watch
	4.9	4.06	1.69
	4.35	4.09	1.68	Watch
	4.75	3.6	1.57
	5.19	3.56	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.75 ↑ (4.65)	3.76 ↓ (3.82)	1.65 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nagano Parceiro
19.5%

Draw
24.6%

Júbilo Iwata
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20%

24.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1%

23.2%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nagano Parceiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Júbilo Iwata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagano Parceiro than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Júbilo Iwata than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Nagano Parceiro - Júbilo Iwata Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Makino K. (G) 24. Watanabe Z. 7. Ono Y. 13. Tsukegi Y. 25. Tanaka K. 30. Nojima K. 6. Hasegawa H. 5. Hasegawa Y. 8. Kondo T. 28. Fujikawa K. 18. Yoshizawa S.	1. Kawashima E. (G) 5. Kato D. 30. Yamazaki K. 52. Van den Bergh J. 7. Uehara R. 2. Kawasaki I. 6. Kaneko D. 33. Kawai T. 36. Yoshimura R. 16. Gustavo Silva 11. Matheus Peixoto
Substitutes
33. Ando K. 16. Ishii K. 17. Kutsuna K. 26. Nakata S. 51. Shimizu S. 11. Shin K. 1. Tajiri K. (G) 3. Tomita K. 10. Yamanaka R.	13. Abe K. (G) 48. Aida Y. 77. Fujiwara K. 18. Inoue S. 25. Koike N. 3. Morioka R. 27. Sato R. 50. Uemura H. 9. Watanabe R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Matheus Peixoto ⚽,
33', Nojima K. 🟨,
39', 1 - 1, Fujikawa K. ⚽, Hasegawa Y. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Kawai T. ↓, Aida Y. ↑,
65', Yoshimura R. ↓, Koike N. ↑,
66', Gustavo Silva ↓, Watanabe R. ↑,
67', Nojima K. ↓, Ando K. ↑,
76', Uehara R. ↓, Uemura H. ↑,
79', Kondo T. ↓, Kutsuna K. ↑,
79', Watanabe Z. ↓, Ishii K. ↑,
79', Hasegawa H. ↓, Nakata S. ↑,
87', Yoshizawa S. ↓, Shimizu S. ↑,
Penalties (1 - 4)
1, Watanabe R. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Shimizu S. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Matheus Peixoto (Penalty Awarded),
2, Hasegawa Y. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Uemura H. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Tanaka K. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Kawasaki I. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Nagano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Iwata is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nagano won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Nagano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Nagano Parceiro
Japan J2 J3 League
04.04.26	Fujieda MYFC - Nagano Parceiro	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	Gifu - Nagano Parceiro	5:1 ✺
21.03.26	Nagano Parceiro - Iwaki	1:3 ✺
14.03.26	Nagano Parceiro - Matsumoto Yamaga	0:5 ✺
08.03.26	Fukushima United - Nagano Parceiro	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLLLL
- Júbilo Iwata
Japan J2 J3 League
04.04.26	Júbilo Iwata - Ventforet Kofu	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Iwaki - Júbilo Iwata	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Júbilo Iwata - Omiya Ardija	1:4 ✺
14.03.26	Júbilo Iwata - Consadole Sapporo	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Fujieda MYFC - Júbilo Iwata	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 J3 League
07.02.26	Júbilo Iwata - Nagano Parceiro	0:0
Japan Emperors Cup
20.09.17	Nagano Parceiro - Júbilo Iwata	0:1

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