Match Info

WE League Women - Round 4

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: NACK5 Stadium Omiya (Saitama) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Japan	13:00	DAZN Japan


	Omiya Ardija		Chifure AS Elfen Saitama

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.10	3.40
	1.92	3.05	3.70
	2.05	3.37	3.42
	1.96	3.23	3.74	Watch
	2.02	3.30	3.35
	1.95	3.42	3.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.96)	3.25 ↑ (3.23)	3.57 ↓ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Omiya Ardija
46.2%

Draw
28.2%

Chifure AS Elfen Saitama
25.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.9%

28.5%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

29.7%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Omiya Ardija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Chifure AS Elfen Saitama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omiya Ardija than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chifure AS Elfen Saitama than the current prediction. (-2%)

Omiya Ardija - Chifure AS Elfen Saitama Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', 0 - 1, Hirao M. ⚽,
75', 0 - 2, Takahashi H. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 10th and 7th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Omiya Ardija won 4.

Omiya Ardija has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Elfen Saitama shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Omiya Ardija is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Omiya Ardija has recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:14 (averaging 1.2:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Omiya Ardija against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 6:7 goals (averaging 0.8:0.9 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Saitama W	6	2	1	3	6:8	-2	7
12	Omiya Ardija W	5	1	0	4	3:8	-5	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Omiya Ardija Women
Japan WE League Cup Women
11.10.26	Cerezo Osaka - Omiya Ardija	2:3 ✺
04.10.26	Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara - Omiya Ardija	1:2 penalties ✺
27.09.26	Omiya Ardija - JEF United Chiba	1:2 penalties ✺
23.09.26	Omiya Ardija - MyNavi Sendai	1:2 ✺
20.09.26	Urawa Red Diamonds - Omiya Ardija	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.3 WWLLW
- Chifure AS Elfen Saitama
Japan WE League Cup Women
12.10.26	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama - Albirex Niigata	1:0 ✺
04.10.26	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama - JEF United Chiba	2:1 ✺
27.09.26	MyNavi Sendai - Chifure AS Elfen Saitama	1:2 penalties ✺
23.09.26	Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara - Chifure AS Elfen Saitama	1:2 penalties ✺
19.09.26	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama - NTV Beleza	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan WE League Cup Women
21.03.26	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama - Omiya Ardija	0:5
Japan WE League Women
22.02.26	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama - Omiya Ardija	0:1
Japan WE League Cup Women
25.10.25	Omiya Ardija - Chifure AS Elfen Saitama	3:0
Japan WE League Women
10.08.25	Omiya Ardija - Chifure AS Elfen Saitama	0:0
19.04.25	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama - Omiya Ardija	0:1
15.09.24	Omiya Ardija - Chifure AS Elfen Saitama	1:2
31.03.24	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama - Omiya Ardija	2:1

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