Match Info
Premier League - Round 21Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday
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Gor Mahia |
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Mathare United |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.31 |
4.35 |
8.6 |
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1.34 |
4.15 |
9.16 |
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1.37 |
4.91 |
9.43 |
Watch |
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1.3 |
3.9 |
10 |
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1.28 |
4.4 |
10.8 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.32 ↓ (1.45) |
4.34 ↑ (3.7) |
9.6 ↑ (7.47) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Gor Mahia 69.4% | Draw 21.1% | Mathare United 9.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gor Mahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gor Mahia's performance.Mathare United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gor Mahia than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathare United than the current prediction. (+1.8%)Gor Mahia - Mathare United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 67', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 82', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 88', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gor Mahia won 4.Gor Mahia has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).Mathare United has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).Mathare United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Gor Mahia is the undeniable favorite.We predict that Gor Mahia will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Gor Mahia won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:16. (average 1.5:0.9).Including home matches between the teams, Gor Mahia won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 1.8:1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 4 | Gor Mahia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Kenyan Premier League | | | 30.10.25 | Mathare United - Gor Mahia | 0:2 | | 08.02.25 | Mathare United - Gor Mahia | 1:2 | | 28.09.24 | Gor Mahia - Mathare United | 4:0 | | 03.05.23 | Gor Mahia - Mathare United | 2:1 | | 01.03.23 | Mathare United - Gor Mahia | 2:1 | | 09.01.22 | Gor Mahia - Mathare United | 1:0 | | 16.06.21 | Mathare United - Gor Mahia | 0:1 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;