Match Info

KENYA: Premier League - Round 16

Date: 19 January 2025, Sunday


	Nairobi City Stars		Kenya CB

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.8	2.6
	2.73	2.87	2.68	Watch
	2.8	2.7	2.62
	2.88	2.78	2.68
	2.75	2.8	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↓ (4.27)	2.79 ↓ (3.07)	2.64 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nairobi City Stars
32.8%

Draw
32.7%

Kenya CB
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.4%

29.7%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.6%

28.6%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nairobi City Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nairobi City Stars's performance.

Kenya CB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kenya CB might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nairobi City Stars than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nairobi City Stars that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kenya CB than the current prediction. (+16.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kenya CB could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nairobi City Stars - Kenya CB Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Etemesi K. ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, Nyakwakwa P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nairobi City Stars
Kenyan Premier League
11.01.25	Posta Rangers - Nairobi City Stars	2:1 ✺
22.12.24	Ulinzi Stars - Nairobi City Stars	2:1 ✺
14.12.24	Nairobi City Stars - Talanta	1:1 ✺
11.12.24	Kariobangi Sharks - Nairobi City Stars	2:2 ✺
07.12.24	Nairobi City Stars - Muranga Seal	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLTTW
- Kenya Commercial Bank SC
Kenyan Premier League
21.12.24	Kenya CB - Mara Sugar	4:3 ✺
15.12.24	Shabana - Kenya CB	2:0 ✺
12.12.24	Kenya CB - Sofapaka	0:0 ✺
08.12.24	Bandari - Kenya CB	1:1 ✺
30.11.24	Kenya CB - Bidco United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
29.10.23	Nairobi City Stars - Kenya CB	1:4
05.04.23	Kenya CB - Nairobi City Stars	1:0
18.01.23	Nairobi City Stars - Kenya CB	0:1
21.05.22	Kenya CB - Nairobi City Stars	3:2
17.12.21	Nairobi City Stars - Kenya CB	0:1
22.08.21	Nairobi City Stars - Kenya CB	0:3
04.12.20	Kenya CB - Nairobi City Stars	1:0

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