Match Info

Premier League - Round 26

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday


	Kenya CB		Mara Sugar

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.72	3.25
	2.28	2.69	3.4
	2.29	2.77	3.38	Watch
	2.25	2.63	3.25
	2.24	3.06	3.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.18)	2.77 ↓ (2.91)	3.31 ↓ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kenya CB
40%

Draw
32.6%

Mara Sugar
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

31.2%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

31.9%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kenya CB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Mara Sugar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kenya CB than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mara Sugar than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Kenya CB - Mara Sugar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
72', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 12).

Recent performances by KCB have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mara Sugar is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

KCB could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, KCB won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, KCB won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	KCB	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Mara Sugar	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kenya Commercial Bank SC
Kenyan Premier League
21.03.26	Police FC - Kenya CB	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Kenya CB - Muranga Seal	1:1 ✺
04.03.26	Nairobi United - Kenya CB	1:1 ✺
26.02.26	Kenya CB - AFC Leopards	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Gor Mahia - Kenya CB	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTTWL
- Mara Sugar FC
Kenyan Premier League
21.03.26	Mara Sugar - APS Bomet	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Bandari - Mara Sugar	0:0 ✺
02.03.26	Mara Sugar - Sofapaka	3:1 ✺
26.02.26	Bidco United - Mara Sugar	2:2 ✺
22.02.26	Mara Sugar - Ulinzi Stars	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
22.11.25	Mara Sugar - Kenya CB	0:1
19.04.25	Mara Sugar - Kenya CB	1:1
21.12.24	Kenya CB - Mara Sugar	4:3

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