Match Info

KENYA: Premier League - Round 15

Date: 22 December 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Tanzania	Azam Sports 4


	Ulinzi Stars		Nairobi City Stars

	1	X	2
	6	3.65	1.52
	2.85	2.63	2.42
	2.93	2.78	2.58	Watch
	3.06	2.64	2.54
	6	3.65	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.17 ↑ (2.32)	3.07 ↑ (2.8)	2.12 ↓ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulinzi Stars
23.1%

Draw
31.4%

Nairobi City Stars
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

32.4%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

32%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulinzi Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ulinzi Stars's form might have worsened.

Nairobi City Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nairobi City Stars's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulinzi Stars than the current prediction. (+16.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ulinzi Stars, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nairobi City Stars than the current prediction. (-17.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nairobi City Stars, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

Ulinzi Stars - Nairobi City Stars Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Nairobi City will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Etemesi K. ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 2 - 1, Kafero B. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulinzi Stars
Kenyan Premier League
18.12.24	Gor Mahia - Ulinzi Stars	3:0 ✺
14.12.24	Kakamega Homeboyz - Ulinzi Stars	1:1 ✺
11.12.24	Ulinzi Stars - Bandari	1:1 ✺
07.12.24	Sofapaka - Ulinzi Stars	4:1 ✺
01.12.24	Ulinzi Stars - Mathare United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTTLT
- Nairobi City Stars
Kenyan Premier League
14.12.24	Nairobi City Stars - Talanta	1:1 ✺
11.12.24	Kariobangi Sharks - Nairobi City Stars	2:2 ✺
07.12.24	Nairobi City Stars - Muranga Seal	1:0 ✺
04.12.24	Police FC - Nairobi City Stars	3:1 ✺
30.11.24	Nairobi City Stars - Bandari	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
07.05.24	Nairobi City Stars - Ulinzi Stars	1:1
17.12.23	Ulinzi Stars - Nairobi City Stars	1:2
07.05.23	Ulinzi Stars - Nairobi City Stars	1:1
25.02.23	Nairobi City Stars - Ulinzi Stars	0:2
18.04.22	Ulinzi Stars - Nairobi City Stars	0:1
10.04.22	Nairobi City Stars - Ulinzi Stars	0:0
10.07.21	Ulinzi Stars - Nairobi City Stars	0:2

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