Match Info

KENYA: Premier League - Round 17

Date: 11 January 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3


	Posta Rangers		Nairobi City Stars

	1	X	2
	2.04	3.3	3.3
	2.15	3.24	3.17	Watch
	1.83	3.2	3.8
	2.1	3.24	3.19
	2.04	3.3	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.75)	3.26 ↑ (3)	3.35 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Posta Rangers
44.8%

Draw
28%

Nairobi City Stars
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

29.9%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

29.1%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Posta Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Posta Rangers's performance.

Nairobi City Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nairobi City Stars might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Posta Rangers than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Posta Rangers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nairobi City Stars than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nairobi City Stars could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Posta Rangers - Nairobi City Stars Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Posta Rangers will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Nairobi City will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Owino V. ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, Shivachi L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+2', 2 - 1, Maloba H. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Posta Rangers FC
Kenyan Premier League
21.12.24	Posta Rangers - Tusker	1:3 ✺
15.12.24	Muranga Seal - Posta Rangers	1:0 ✺
11.12.24	Posta Rangers - Kakamega Homeboyz	1:1 ✺
08.12.24	Posta Rangers - Kariobangi Sharks	0:1 ✺
04.12.24	Shabana - Posta Rangers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLTLT
- Nairobi City Stars
Kenyan Premier League
22.12.24	Ulinzi Stars - Nairobi City Stars	2:1 ✺
14.12.24	Nairobi City Stars - Talanta	1:1 ✺
11.12.24	Kariobangi Sharks - Nairobi City Stars	2:2 ✺
07.12.24	Nairobi City Stars - Muranga Seal	1:0 ✺
04.12.24	Police FC - Nairobi City Stars	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
14.01.24	Nairobi City Stars - Posta Rangers	1:0
02.12.23	Posta Rangers - Nairobi City Stars	0:1
11.12.22	Posta Rangers - Nairobi City Stars	0:0
09.03.22	Nairobi City Stars - Posta Rangers	1:2
30.10.21	Posta Rangers - Nairobi City Stars	1:1
08.01.21	Posta Rangers - Nairobi City Stars	1:1

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