Match Info

CAF Confederation Cup - Qualification - Final

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3


	Nairobi United		Étoile du Sahel

	1	X	2
	4	3.1	1.83
	4.07	3.14	1.84
	3.63	2.92	2.18	Watch
	3.94	3.2	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.91 ↓ (3.97)	3.09 ↓ (3.15)	1.93 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nairobi United
23.3%

Draw
29.5%

Étoile du Sahel
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

28.6%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

29.4%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nairobi United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Étoile du Sahel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nairobi United than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Étoile du Sahel than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Nairobi United - Étoile du Sahel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Ochieng O. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Nairobi United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Nairobi United has had a series of away games.

In this match, Étoile du Sahel is a strong favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nairobi United
Kenyan Premier League
11.10.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Nairobi United	0:2 ✺
06.10.25	Bidco United - Nairobi United	1:0 ✺
01.10.25	Mara Sugar - Nairobi United	0:1 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
27.09.25	Nairobi United - NEC FC	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	NEC FC - Nairobi United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 WLWTT
- Étoile du Sahel
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
05.10.25	Espérance ST - Étoile du Sahel	1:0 ✺
01.10.25	Étoile du Sahel - Stade Tunisien	1:1 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
27.09.25	Étoile du Sahel - Al-Ahli Wad Madani	3:0 ✺
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
24.09.25	Soliman - Étoile du Sahel	0:2 ✺
16.09.25	Étoile du Sahel - JS Kairouan	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTWWL

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