Match Info

Stars League - Round 16

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Iraq	Iraqia Syriac


	Zakho		Al-Minaa

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.2	5.15
	1.6	3.45	5.2
	1.62	3.46	5.31	Watch
	1.62	3.25	4.8
	1.63	3.64	5.46	Watch
	1.6	3.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.47)	3.42 ↓ (3.8)	5.15 ↓ (6.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zakho
55.9%

Draw
26.5%

Al-Minaa
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

24.1%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8%

23.2%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zakho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zakho's form might have worsened.

Al-Minaa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zakho than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zakho, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Minaa than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Zakho - Al Minaa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Qasem M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', 1 - 1, Cekici E. (Penalty Awarded),
89', Joseph 🟥,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 15).

Zakho is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Al-Minaa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Zakho is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Zakho will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Zakho won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Zakho won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Al Minaa	8	2	3	3	8:10	-2	9
12	Zakho	8	2	3	3	7:11	-4	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zakho
Iraqi Premier League
27.01.26	Najaf - Zakho	1:2 ✺
23.01.26	Zakho - Duhok	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Naft Maysan - Zakho	0:2 ✺
14.01.26	Al-Kahraba - Zakho	0:3 ✺
09.01.26	Zakho - Amanat Baghdad	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WTWWT
- Al-Minaa
Iraqi Premier League
28.01.26	Al-Minaa - Al-Naft	0:0 ✺
23.01.26	Al-Minaa - Al-Shorta Baghdad	1:1 ✺
19.01.26	Al-Talaba - Al-Minaa	1:2 ✺
14.01.26	Al-Minaa - Al-Karkh	0:2 ✺
09.01.26	Duhok - Al-Minaa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
03.03.25	Zakho - Al-Minaa	1:0
27.11.24	Al-Minaa - Zakho	0:0
21.02.24	Al-Minaa - Zakho	0:2
05.05.13	Zakho - Al-Minaa	2:3

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