Match Info

Thai League 1 - Round 14

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Location: 80th Birthday Stadium (Nakhon Ratchasima)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Nakhon Ratchasima		Pathum United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.05	3.65	1.68	Watch
	4.29	4.09	1.72
	3.95	3.91	1.73	Watch
	3.9	3.7	1.67
	4	4	1.76	Watch
	4	4	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.03 ↑ (3.79)	3.89 ↑ (3.82)	1.7 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nakhon Ratchasima
22.7%

Draw
23.5%

Pathum United
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

24.1%

51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

23.6%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nakhon Ratchasima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Pathum United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nakhon Ratchasima than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pathum United than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Nakhon Ratchasima - Pathum United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Pathum United (1.89) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Pathum United (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Noorach T. (G) 3. Mamadou B. 43. Lalic N. 45. Jaiphet A. 35. Wendel 19. Bangsungnoen R. 8. Martinez Viti 21. Jaroenbut N. 27. Phimpsang C. 23. Dennis Murillo (C) 10. Brandao	28. Anuin S. (G) 55. Tamma C. 89. Buaphan C. 16. Sandokhadze N. 81. Choolthong W. 4. Tongkiri C. 5. Kaman K. (C) 10. Lopez J. 17. Notsuda G. 8. Panya E. 14. Doi T.
Substitutes
9. Athisaraworameth T. 11. Darbellay D. 22. Hanrattana P. 24. Hanrattana P. 37. Jeenthai P. 13. Kaewklang N. 18. Lakhonphon N. (G) 16. Lemdee B. 7. Meleg D. 17. Mungdee A. 30. Punnathat P. 29. Sanmahung J.	93. Dorkmaikaew P. (G) 22. James N. 29. Jamnongwat W. 95. Matheus Fornazari 2. Nonthasila S. 3. Ose T. 77. Phonsan S. 18. Songkrasin C. 13. Wonggorn J. 47. Wongsawang N. 6. Yooyen S.
Coaches
Kongthep S.	Ishii M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Phimpsang C. ↓, Lemdee B. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Tamma C. ↓, Nonthasila S. ↑,
46', Buaphan C. ↓, Ose T. ↑,
46', Brandao ↓, Darbellay D. ↑,
46', Lalic N. ↓, Sanmahung J. ↑,
60', Dennis Murillo 🟨,
63', Tongkiri C. ↓, Songkrasin C. ↑,
72', Sandokhadze N. 🟨,
74', Darbellay D. ↓, Athisaraworameth T. ↑,
77', Lopez J. ↓, Wonggorn J. ↑,
78', 0 - 1, Doi T. ⚽,
84', Bangsungnoen R. ↓, Mungdee A. ↑,
88', Notsuda G. ↓, Yooyen S. ↑,
90', Anuin S. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nakhon Ratchasima won 1.

Nakhon Ratchasima has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Pathum United has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Nakhon Ratchasima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Nakhon Ratchasima has had a series of away games.

In this match, Pathum United is a strong favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Nakhon Ratchasima won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 4:19. (average 0.4:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Nakhon Ratchasima won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.4:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Thai League 1
29.11.25	Uthai Thani - Nakhon Ratchasima	7:0 ✺
23.11.25	Nakhon Ratchasima - Ayutthaya United	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Chiangrai United - Nakhon Ratchasima	2:0 ✺
01.11.25	Buriram United - Nakhon Ratchasima	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Prachuap - Nakhon Ratchasima	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- BG Pathum United
ASEAN Club Championship
03.12.25	Tampines Rovers - Pathum United	3:2 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
27.11.25	Pohang Steelers - Pathum United	2:0 ✺
Thai League 1
22.11.25	Ratchaburi - Pathum United	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Pathum United - Rayong FC	1:1 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
06.11.25	Pathum United - Kaya	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Thai FA Cup
23.04.25	Nakhon Ratchasima - Pathum United	1:3
Thai League 1
06.04.25	Pathum United - Nakhon Ratchasima	1:0
24.11.24	Nakhon Ratchasima - Pathum United	1:0
08.04.23	Pathum United - Nakhon Ratchasima	5:2
05.11.22	Nakhon Ratchasima - Pathum United	0:4
10.04.22	Pathum United - Nakhon Ratchasima	3:0
10.11.21	Nakhon Ratchasima - Pathum United	0:0

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