Match Info

Date: 22 December 2020, Tuesday


	Nancy		Chambly

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.75	Watch
	2.1	3	3.7
	2.15	2.95	3.65	Watch
	2.13	2.95	3.6
	2.22	3.07	3.89
	2.15	3	3.75
	2.17	3.2	3.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.14)	3.02 ↓ (3.06)	3.71 ↑ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nancy
43.7%

Draw
31%

Chambly
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

30.6%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

20.7%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nancy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Chambly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nancy than the current prediction. (-14%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nancy that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chambly than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chambly could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	40%	30%

Nancy - Chambly Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Nancy will win (votes: 9 - 30%). Chambly will win (votes: 9 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 22.5% – 57.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation) and 16).

Nancy has a chance of relegated (27%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Chambly has a chance of relegated (29%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Nancy is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Chambly is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chambly could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Nancy will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Nancy won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Nancy won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Nancy Lorraine
French Ligue 2
18.12.20	Ajaccio - Nancy	1:0 ✺
15.12.20	Nancy - Troyes	2:3 ✺
12.12.20	Nancy - Auxerre	2:2 ✺
05.12.20	Sochaux - Nancy	1:1 ✺
01.12.20	Nancy - Toulouse	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLTTL
- FC Chambly
French Ligue 2
18.12.20	Chambly - Guingamp	3:0 ✺
12.12.20	Amiens - Chambly	1:1 ✺
05.12.20	Chambly - Valenciennes	1:2 ✺
01.12.20	Chambly - Rodez	1:0 ✺
28.11.20	Ajaccio - Chambly	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
21.02.20	Chambly - Nancy	2:1
20.09.19	Nancy - Chambly	3:0

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