Match Info

Date: 28 August 2021, Saturday


	Nancy		Auxerre

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2.3	Watch
	2.9	3.2	2.35
	3.05	3.2	2.3	Watch
	2.9	3.05	2.4
	3.06	3.21	2.53
	2.9	3.25	2.35
	2.91	3.4	2.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↓ (3.28)	3.23 ↓ (3.3)	2.38 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nancy
31.6%

Draw
29%

Auxerre
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

28.3%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2%

21.1%

58%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nancy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Auxerre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nancy than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nancy that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (+18.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Auxerre could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nancy - Auxerre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 7).

Nancy has the most likely position - 20 (11%), has project points - 42, has currently - 1, has a chance of relegated (26%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Auxerre has the most likely position - 4 (9.78%), has project points - 58, has currently - 8, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a small chance of promoted (14%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

Nancy has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Auxerre is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Nancy won 3 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Nancy won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Nancy Lorraine
French Ligue 2
21.08.21	Caen - Nancy	1:0 ✺
14.08.21	Nancy - Valenciennes	0:1 ✺
11.08.21	Bastia - Nancy	1:1 ✺
31.07.21	Nancy - Toulouse	0:4 ✺
24.07.21	Pau - Nancy	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLTLL
- AJ Auxerre
French Ligue 2
23.08.21	Auxerre - Guingamp	1:2 ✺
16.08.21	Paris FC - Auxerre	1:1 ✺
07.08.21	Auxerre - Ajaccio	0:0 ✺
02.08.21	Auxerre - Grenoble	3:0 ✺
24.07.21	Amiens - Auxerre	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
17.04.21	Auxerre - Nancy	3:2
12.12.20	Nancy - Auxerre	2:2
20.12.19	Auxerre - Nancy	0:0
25.01.19	Nancy - Auxerre	1:0
17.08.18	Auxerre - Nancy	1:0
21.04.18	Nancy - Auxerre	2:1
24.11.17	Auxerre - Nancy	1:1

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