Match Info

Date: 23 October 2021, Saturday


	Ajaccio		Nancy

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.25	4.5	Watch
	1.93	3	4.5
	1.88	3.15	4.35	Watch
	1.82	3.15	4.4
	1.89	3.28	4.92
	1.83	3.25	4.4
	1.9	3.42	4.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.65)	3.21 ↓ (3.68)	4.49 ↓ (5.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajaccio
50.1%

Draw
29.1%

Nancy
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

25.5%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6%

20.9%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ajaccio's form might have worsened.

Nancy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+19.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ajaccio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nancy than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nancy, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ajaccio - Nancy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ National).

Ajaccio has the most likely position - 3 (11.62%), has project points - 59, has currently - 22, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of promoted (16%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

Nancy has the most likely position - 20 (21.43%), has project points - 38, has currently - 8, has a chance of relegated (43%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Ajaccio is a favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Ajaccio won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Ajaccio
French Ligue 2
18.10.21	Nîmes - Ajaccio	0:2 ✺
02.10.21	Ajaccio - Quevilly	0:1 ✺
25.09.21	Bastia - Ajaccio	2:0 ✺
21.09.21	Ajaccio - Niort	0:0 ✺
18.09.21	Rodez - Ajaccio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLLTW
- AS Nancy Lorraine
French Ligue 2
16.10.21	Nancy - Guingamp	2:1 ✺
02.10.21	Paris FC - Nancy	1:1 ✺
24.09.21	Nancy - Amiens	1:1 ✺
21.09.21	Grenoble - Nancy	4:1 ✺
18.09.21	Nancy - Le Havre	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
20.04.21	Nancy - Ajaccio	2:0
18.12.20	Ajaccio - Nancy	1:0
18.10.19	Ajaccio - Nancy	0:0
French Coupe de la Ligue
27.08.19	Nancy - Ajaccio	1:0
French Ligue 2
26.04.19	Nancy - Ajaccio	1:0
04.12.18	Ajaccio - Nancy	1:1
13.04.18	Ajaccio - Nancy	2:0

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