Match Info

CHINA: Yi League - Promotion Group - Round 28

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Haimen Sports Center Stadium (Nantong)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports


	Nantong Haimen Codion		Shenzhen Juniors

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.4	3.1	1.98
	3.8	3.3	1.88	Watch
	3.48	3.22	2.04
	3.59	3.24	2	Watch
	3.6	3.3	1.85
	3.47	3.14	2.03
	3.45	3.2	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↓ (4.57)	3.21 ↓ (3.8)	1.97 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nantong Haimen Codion
25.7%

Draw
28.3%

Shenzhen Juniors
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.9%

23.9%

56.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6%

23.5%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nantong Haimen Codion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nantong Haimen Codion's performance.

Shenzhen Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shenzhen Juniors might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantong Haimen Codion than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nantong Haimen Codion that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shenzhen Juniors than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shenzhen Juniors could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nantong Haimen Codion - Shenzhen Juniors Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zhao Dongxu (G) 60. Yin Hanlong 32. Qi Dan 10. Li X. 2. Luo H. 50. Cheng Xin 19. Zheng Lei 59. Dai Yuanji 49. Chen Weijing 9. Yan Ge 17. Bai Xianyi	41. Wang Shihan (G) 26. Mai Sijing 27. Sun Xiaobin 16. Zhou Xin 4. Gao K. 6. Liang Rifu 59. Wen Y. 10. Xie Baoxian 18. Shi Yucheng 28. Li Yingjian 17. Hu Ming
Substitutes
51. Cheng Xuekun 53. Cheng Y. 41. Guo Kainan 21. Huang-Jiang Daya 46. Ji Sangnan 55. Liang Zhenfu (G) 26. Pei Guoguang 56. Sun Qinan 42. Tan J. 43. Wang B. 47. Xue Tianyi 57. Zhang H.	34. Chen J. 15. Chen Weiqi 12. Han Guanghui 29. Lin Zefeng 3. Liu Zejun 24. Li Yuyang 11. Lu J. 20. Men Yang 56. Wang Jiakun 55. Wen Ruijie 14. Zhang J. 22. Zhong Junze
Coaches
Lu Qiang	Zhang Jun

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Liang Rifu 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Xie Baoxian ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Wen Y. ↓, Lu J. ↑,
46', Zheng Lei ↓, Sun Qinan ↑,
46', Yan Ge ↓, Wang B. ↑,
51', Hu Ming ↓, Men Yang ↑,
53', Gao K. 🟨,
56', Gao K. ↓, Han Guanghui ↑,
60', Sun Qinan 🟨,
66', 0 - 2, Liang Rifu ⚽, Men Yang (A),
73', Bai Xianyi ↓, Ji Sangnan ↑,
83', Li Yingjian ↓, Lin Zefeng ↑,
85', Dai Yuanji ↓, Tan J. ↑,
88', Xie Baoxian ↓, Wang Jiakun ↑,
90+2', Li X. 🟨,
90+5', Li X. 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nantong Haimen Codion
Chinese Yi League
13.10.24	Hunan Billows - Nantong Haimen Codion	2:2 ✺
06.10.24	Guangdong GZ-Power - Nantong Haimen Codion	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	Nantong Haimen Codion - Shanghai Port B	1:2 ✺
21.09.24	Nantong Haimen Codion - Guangxi Hengchen	1:3 ✺
16.09.24	Shenzhen Juniors - Nantong Haimen Codion	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TTLLL
- Shenzhen Juniors FC
Chinese Yi League
13.10.24	Shenzhen Juniors - Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	1:0 ✺
06.10.24	Dalian Kun City - Shenzhen Juniors	1:0 ✺
29.09.24	Shenzhen Juniors - Shandong Taishan B	1:0 ✺
22.09.24	Shaanxi Union - Shenzhen Juniors	2:1 ✺
16.09.24	Shenzhen Juniors - Nantong Haimen Codion	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
16.09.24	Shenzhen Juniors - Nantong Haimen Codion	2:1

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