Match Info

CHINA: Yi League - Promotion Group - Round 23

Date: 16 September 2024, Monday

Location: Longhua sports center stadium (Shenzhen)


	Shenzhen Juniors		Nantong Haimen Codion

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.35	4.4	7
				Watch
	1.41	4.1	7.11
	1.4	4.16	7.62	Watch
	1.29	4.6	7.5
	1.3	4.85	8.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.72)	4.42 ↑ (3.6)	7.54 ↑ (4.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shenzhen Juniors
67.4%

Draw
20.6%

Nantong Haimen Codion
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

25.3%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

24.7%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shenzhen Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shenzhen Juniors's performance.

Nantong Haimen Codion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nantong Haimen Codion might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen Juniors than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shenzhen Juniors that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantong Haimen Codion than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nantong Haimen Codion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Shenzhen Juniors - Nantong Haimen Codion Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Long Wenhao (G) 56. Wang Jiakun 16. Zhou Xin 19. Zheng Zhiming 12. Han Guanghui 28. Li Yingjian 6. Liang Rifu 21. Chen Y. 18. Shi Yucheng 17. Hu Ming 29. Lin Zefeng	55. Liang Zhenfu (G) 19. Zheng Lei 32. Qi Dan 3. Yu Jiawei 2. Luo H. 60. Yin Hanlong 10. Li X. 59. Dai Yuanji 50. Cheng Xin 43. Wang B. 9. Yan Ge
Substitutes
15. Chen Weiqi 4. Gao K. 33. Liu S. 3. Liu Zejun 24. Li Yuyang 26. Mai Sijing 20. Men Yang 27. Sun Xiaobin 41. Wang Shihan (G) 59. Wen Y. 10. Xie Baoxian 22. Zhong Junze	17. Bai Xianyi 45. Cao Y. 49. Chen Weijing 41. Guo Kainan 46. Ji Sangnan 26. Pei Guoguang 56. Sun Qinan 42. Tan J. 1. Zhao Dongxu (G)
Coaches
Zhang Jun	Lu Qiang

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', Chen Y. 🟨,
5', 1 - 0, Chen Y. ⚽, Li Yingjian (A),
13', 1 - 1, Cheng Xin ⚽, Wang B. (A),
32', Luo H. 🟨,
36', Zhou Xin ↓, Liu S. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Han Guanghui ↓, Gao K. ↑,
46', Liang Rifu ↓, Wen Y. ↑,
51', 2 - 1, Hu Ming ⚽, Gao K. (A),
57', Yin Hanlong ↓, Pei Guoguang ↑,
57', Wen Y. 🟨,
66', Yu Jiawei ↓, Guo Kainan ↑,
66', Wang B. ↓, Cao Y. ↑,
71', Li X. 🟨,
72', Shi Yucheng 🟨,
79', Hu Ming ↓, Men Yang ↑,
79', Li Yingjian ↓, Xie Baoxian ↑,
83', Wang Jiakun ↓, Mai Sijing ↑,
85', Zheng Zhiming 🟨,
89', Dai Yuanji ↓, Ji Sangnan ↑,
89', Cheng Xin ↓, Chen Weijing ↑,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shenzhen Juniors FC
Chinese Yi League
08.09.24	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue - Shenzhen Juniors	1:1 ✺
31.08.24	Shenzhen Juniors - Dalian Kun City	1:0 ✺
24.08.24	Shandong Taishan B - Shenzhen Juniors	1:0 ✺
17.08.24	Shenzhen Juniors - Shaanxi Union	3:2 ✺
27.07.24	Hunan Billows - Shenzhen Juniors	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TWLWW
- Nantong Haimen Codion
Chinese Yi League
07.09.24	Nantong Haimen Codion - Hunan Billows	1:1 ✺
31.08.24	Nantong Haimen Codion - Guangdong GZ-Power	1:3 ✺
24.08.24	Shanghai Port B - Nantong Haimen Codion	3:0 ✺
17.08.24	Guangxi Hengchen - Nantong Haimen Codion	5:0 ✺
28.07.24	Beijing Institute of Technology - Nantong Haimen Codion	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLLLW

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