Match Info

League One - Round 21

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Wutaishan Stadium (Nanjing)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Nanjing City		Guangxi Hengchen

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.40	3.20	1.93
	3.9	3.25	1.78
	4.61	3.63	1.78
	3.72	3.38	1.98	Watch
	4.45	3.5	1.76
	4.17	3.55	1.83	Watch
	3.95	3.35	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.03 ↑ (3.35)	3.41 ↑ (3.4)	1.84 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nanjing City
22.9%

Draw
27%

Guangxi Hengchen
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

26.7%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

25.6%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nanjing City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Guangxi Hengchen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nanjing City than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangxi Hengchen than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Nanjing City - Guangxi Hengchen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Yang Chao (G) 15. Tayir Shewketjan 18. Dong Honglin (C) 2. Wang Xijie 20. Liu Le 22. Meng Zhen 11. Hu Rentian 6. Zhou Y. 10. Ngom Mbekeli J. 23. Hu Jinghang 25. Bruno Baio	41. Liang Kun (G) 25. Ren K. 5. Luan H. 6. Chen G. 3. Yuan X. (C) 21. Dai Ming 18. Wei Chaolun 7. Chen D. 10. Ardazishvili R. 11. Lapoussin L. 36. Mbo N.
Substitutes
17. An Bang 29. Fu Shang 19. Ma Fuyu 14. Qurban W. 30. Wei Minghe 33. Xiang Rongjun 21. Xi Anjie (G) 16. Yang He 32. Yang Z. 13. Zhai Zhaoyu 4. Zhao Chengle 31. Zhu Qiwen	28. Ablimit Subi 42. Ji Tianle 24. Ji X. 23. Khedrup Lobsang 32. Li S. 20. Lu Junhui 16. Ning W. 12. Yao-hsing Yu 39. Zhang Jianzhi (G) 4. Zhang Z.
Coaches
Zhang X.	Liu Junwei

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Ardazishvili R. ⚽, Lapoussin L. (A),
36', Ngom Mbekeli J. ↓, Yang He ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Zhou Y. ↓, Qurban W. ↑,
46', Hu Rentian ↓, Zhu Qiwen ↑,
65', Bruno Baio ↓, Zhai Zhaoyu ↑,
69', 0 - 2, Dai Ming ⚽, Lapoussin L. (A),
69', Ardazishvili R. ↓, Ji Tianle ↑,
75', Hu Jinghang ↓, Ma Fuyu ↑,
84', Wei Chaolun 🟨,
87', Dai Ming ↓, Li S. ↑,
87', Chen D. ↓, Khedrup Lobsang ↑,
90+3', Lapoussin L. ↓, Ji X. ↑,
90+3', Wei Chaolun ↓, Ablimit Subi ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 5).

Nanjing City is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Guangxi Hengchen's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Guangxi Hengchen might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nanjing City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Guangxi Hengchen	25	13	6	6	40:27	13	45
15	Nanjing City	25	5	6	14	21:37	-16	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nanjing City FC
Chinese Jia League
23.08.26	Shenzhen Juniors - Nanjing City	3:1 ✺
16.08.26	Nanjing City - Dingnan United	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	Nanjing City - Nantong Zhiyun	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Yanbian Longding - Nanjing City	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	Changchun Yatai - Nanjing City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTTTL
- Guangxi Hengchen
Chinese Jia League
22.08.26	Guangxi Hengchen - Suzhou Dongwu	3:3 ✺
15.08.26	Guangxi Hengchen - Meizhou Hakka	1:0 ✺
09.08.26	Guangdong GZ-Power - Guangxi Hengchen	2:0 ✺
01.08.26	Ningbo Professional - Guangxi Hengchen	2:4 ✺
26.07.26	Guangxi Hengchen - Dingnan United	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
25.04.26	Guangxi Hengchen - Nanjing City	1:0

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