Match Info

USL League One

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Paradise Coast Sports Complex (Naples, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Naples		Westchester SC

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.72	3.5	3.9
	1.75	3.4	3.95	Watch
	1.78	3.66	3.9
	1.79	3.84	3.98	Watch
	1.75	3.25	3.9
	1.73	3.56	4.13	Watch
	1.74	3.55	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.74)	3.54 ↓ (3.55)	3.96 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naples
51.6%

Draw
25.6%

Westchester SC
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

25.4%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

21.4%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naples has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

The chances for Westchester SC have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naples than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Naples that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Westchester SC than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Naples - Westchester SC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Grant J. (G) 12. Gay H. 21. Torrellas M. 22. Yoder J. 3. Cisneros J. 7. Gray T. 19. Arevalo W. 14. O'Connor K. (C) 10. Ferrin A. 9. Miglietti G. 18. Bachstein D.	99. Marinelli L. (G) 2. Jennings M. 8. Bouman D. 4. Pierre B. 3. Dickerson C. 18. Mackic E. 6. McGlynn C. (C) 77. Burko D. 83. Evans K. 10. Guezen D. 9. Blommestijn K.
Substitutes
16. Bulai-Tudor A. 30. Cerro I. 1. Delgado L. (G) 34. Fitzgerald L. (G) 5. Mastrantonio L. 23. Mesias A. 8. Osorio J. 31. Rose T. 2. Strumeier J.	21. Armas A. 17. Diaz M. 27. Jimenez J. 23. Molina M. (G) 66. Powder N. 7. Powder S. 5. Timchenko T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', Torrellas M. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Arevalo W. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Yoder J. 🟨,
52', Blommestijn K. 🟨,
57', Gay H. ↓, Osorio J. ↑,
57', Yoder J. ↓, Mastrantonio L. ↑,
65', McGlynn C. ↓, Armas A. ↑,
65', Guezen D. ↓, Powder N. ↑,
65', Burko D. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
65', Blommestijn K. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
66', Marinelli L. 🟨,
66', Bachstein D. 🟨,
69', Bachstein D. ↓, Cerro I. ↑,
70', Arevalo W. ↓, Mesias A. ↑,
75', Dickerson C. ↓, Powder S. ↑,
77', Powder N. 🟨,
81', Jimenez J. 🟨,
84', Gray T. ↓, Rose T. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).

Naples is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Westchester is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Westchester may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Naples is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Naples won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Naples won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	FC Naples	29	11	4	14	34:44	-10	37
11	Westchester SC	29	9	6	14	48:46	2	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Naples
USL Cup
17.05.26	Naples - Sporting Jacksonville	2:1 penalties ✺
USL League One
13.05.26	Boise - Naples	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	Spokane Velocity - Naples	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Naples - One Knoxville	0:3 ✺
USL Cup
29.04.26	Miami - Naples	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLL
- Westchester SC
USL Cup
15.05.26	Westchester SC - New York Cosmos	2:3 ✺
USL League One
09.05.26	Fort Wayne - Westchester SC	1:0 ✺
01.05.26	Richmond Kickers - Westchester SC	1:0 ✺
USL Cup
25.04.26	Westchester SC - Portland Hearts of Pine	2:2 ✺
USL League One
18.04.26	Boise - Westchester SC	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
12.10.25	Westchester SC - Naples	2:0
30.08.25	Naples - Westchester SC	2:2
12.07.25	Naples - Westchester SC	2:1

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