Match Info

USL League One

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: One Spokane Stadium (Spokane, WA) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	19:00	Disney+
Brazil	19:00	Disney+
Chile	18:00	Disney+
Colombia	17:00	Disney+
Mexico	16:00	Disney+
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	17:00	Disney+
Uruguay	19:00	Disney+
Usa	18:00	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	18:00	Disney+


	Spokane Velocity		Naples

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.98	3.15	3.45
	1.96	3.23	3.96
	1.97	3.22	3.98	Watch
	1.95	2.9	3.75
	1.85	3.2	4.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.88)	3.14 ↓ (3.16)	3.83 ↓ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spokane Velocity
47.1%

Draw
29.1%

Naples
23.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.1%

28.5%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

27.8%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spokane Velocity has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Naples has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spokane Velocity than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naples than the current prediction. (-1%)

Spokane Velocity - Naples Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lewis S. (G) 13. Opara L. 5. Margvelashvili G. 12. Miller C. 33. Mensah M. 77. Lewis A. 6. Fernandez C. 11. John-Brown S. 10. Gil L. (C) 17. Alexandre M. 16. Pelaez A.	1. Delgado L. (C) 21. Torrellas M. 5. Mastrantonio L. 22. Yoder J. 3. Cisneros J. 23. Mesias A. 11. Garcia C. 14. O'Connor K. 7. Gray T. 10. Ferrin A. 9. Miglietti G.
Substitutes
9. Brett N. 37. Buck J. 20. Covi I. 19. Denton J. 14. Hernandez M. 8. Vinyals N. 18. Waldeck D. 22. Wells R.	19. Arevalo W. 18. Bachstein D. 30. Cerro I. 12. Gay H. 99. Grant J. (G) 8. Osorio J. 31. Rose T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Alexandre M. ⚽, Pelaez A. (A),
28', John-Brown S. 🟨,
36', Lewis A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 2 - 0, Pelaez A. (Penalty Awarded),
59', Miglietti G. ↓, Bachstein D. ↑,
59', Yoder J. ↓, Rose T. ↑,
68', Gil L. ↓, Vinyals N. ↑,
68', Fernandez C. ↓, Denton J. ↑,
68', Pelaez A. ↓, Brett N. ↑,
72', Garcia C. ↓, Arevalo W. ↑,
72', Mesias A. ↓, Gay H. ↑,
77', Alexandre M. ↓, Waldeck D. ↑,
81', Mensah M. ↓, Covi I. ↑,
81', Ferrin A. ↓, Cerro I. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 1, Mastrantonio L. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In recent matches, Spokane has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Naples is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Spokane may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Spokane is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Spokane won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Spokane won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Spokane Velocity	32	16	6	10	50:44	6	54
8	FC Naples	32	14	4	14	39:46	-7	46

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spokane Velocity
USL League One
02.05.26	Corpus Christi - Spokane Velocity	0:0 ✺
USL Cup
25.04.26	Sacramento Republic - Spokane Velocity	4:0 ✺
USL League One
11.04.26	Spokane Velocity - Richmond Kickers	3:1 ✺
07.04.26	Spokane Velocity - AV Alta	3:1 ✺
04.04.26	Boise - Spokane Velocity	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TLWWT
- FC Naples
USL League One
02.05.26	Naples - One Knoxville	0:3 ✺
USL Cup
29.04.26	Miami - Naples	4:1 ✺
USL League One
19.04.26	Portland Hearts of Pine - Naples	1:1 ✺
US Open Cup
15.04.26	Naples - Orlando City	0:1 ✺
USL League One
11.04.26	Naples - Sarasota Paradise	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
18.10.25	Naples - Spokane Velocity	0:1
22.03.25	Spokane Velocity - Naples	0:1

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