Match Info

USL Cup

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Paradise Coast Sports Complex (Naples, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Naples		Sporting Jacksonville

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.18	3.25	2.92
	2.25	3.4	2.95
	4.17	3.43	1.82	Watch
	2.2	3.1	2.88
	2.3	3.67	2.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.4)	3.37 ↓ (3.6)	2.66 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Naples
36.2%

Draw
28.2%

Sporting Jacksonville
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

25.7%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

25.3%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naples has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

The chances for Sporting Jacksonville have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naples than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Jacksonville than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Naples - Sporting Jacksonville Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Delgado L. (C) 22. Yoder J. 5. Mastrantonio L. 31. Rose T. 3. Cisneros J. 19. Arevalo W. 14. O'Connor K. 21. Torrellas M. 10. Ferrin A. 18. Bachstein D. 7. Gray T.	1. McGuire J. (G) 2. Neville H. 15. Edwards R. (C) 4. Dudley E. 3. Rose T. 12. Rito E. 6. Rossiter J. 7. Evans J. 19. Pedder R. 16. Jaaskelainen E. 11. Al Qaq A.
Substitutes
30. Cerro I. 34. Fitzgerald L. (G) 99. Grant J. (G) 17. Halterman T. (G) 23. Mesias A. 9. Miglietti G. 8. Osorio J.	5. Elias P. 22. Gomez A. 26. Granitur L. 8. Kuzain W. 31. Olivares C. (G) 10. Sadlier K. 32. Soumaoro B. 28. Underwood E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Al Qaq A. ⚽, Rito E. (A),
30', Rose T. ↓, Miglietti G. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mastrantonio L. ↓, Osorio J. ↑,
58', Pedder R. ↓, Kuzain W. ↑,
58', Rito E. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
63', Evans J. ↓, Sadlier K. ↑,
64', Kuzain W. 🟨,
65', Arevalo W. ↓, Mesias A. ↑,
78', Bachstein D. ↓, Cerro I. ↑,
78', Delgado L. ↓, Grant J. ↑,
89', Edwards R. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 1, Ferrin A. (Penalty Awarded),
90+6', Rose T. ↓, Granitur L. ↑,
Penalties (3 - 1)
1, Ferrin A. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Jaaskelainen E. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Mesias A. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Edwards R. (Penalty Awarded),
3, O'Connor K. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Neville H. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Osorio J. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Sadlier K. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Naples is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sporting Jax's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sporting Jax may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Naples
USL League One
13.05.26	Boise - Naples	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	Spokane Velocity - Naples	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Naples - One Knoxville	0:3 ✺
USL Cup
29.04.26	Miami - Naples	4:1 ✺
USL League One
19.04.26	Portland Hearts of Pine - Naples	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLT
- Sporting Jacksonville
USL Cup
13.05.26	Sarasota Paradise - Sporting Jacksonville	0:2 ✺
USL Championship
09.05.26	Indy Eleven - Sporting Jacksonville	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Charleston Battery - Sporting Jacksonville	4:0 ✺
USL Cup
25.04.26	Sporting Jacksonville - Miami	0:1 ✺
USL Championship
18.04.26	Louisville City - Sporting Jacksonville	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 WLLLL

Upcoming Matches