Match Info

Serie A - Round 4

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona (Naples) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Bonacina K. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, SuperSport Football
Albania	18:00	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	13:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Asia	—	Q League Asia, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	18:00	DAZN
Bangladesh	22:00	Begin
Belgium	18:00	DAZN 2
Bolivia	12:00	ESPN 3
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:00	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	13:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	19:00	Max Sport 3
Canada	12:00	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network, TLN, VIVA
Chile	13:00	ESPN 3
Colombia	11:00	ESPN 3
Croatia	18:00	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	18:00	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	18:00	DAZN, TV2 Play
Ecuador	11:00	ESPN 3
Estonia	19:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	—	Go3 Sport Open Baltic
Finland	19:00	DAZN, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	18:00	DAZN France
Georgia	20:00	Silk Sport 1
Germany	18:00	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	00:00	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
India	21:30	ZEE5
Indonesia	23:00	Vidio
Iraq	19:00	Almanasa
Israel	19:00	Sport 2
Italy	18:00	DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	01:00	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	18:00	Arena Premium 3, ART Sport 1
Kuwait	19:00	Shasha
Lithuania	19:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Macao	00:00	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	00:00	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	18:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	10:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Netherlands	18:00	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 3, Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	04:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	18:00	Arena Premium 1, Arena Premium 3
Norway	18:00	VG+
Paraguay	12:00	ESPN 3
Peru	11:00	Disney+, ESPN 3
Poland	18:00	Eleven Sports 1, Eleven Sports 2
Romania	19:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	19:00	Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	19:00	STC TV, Thmanyah
Serbia	18:00	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	18:00	Sport 1, Voyo
Slovenia	18:00	Arena Sport 2
South Africa	18:00	SuperSport Football
South Korea	01:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Suriname	13:00	SCCN
Sweden	18:00	DAZN, TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	18:00	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	23:00	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	17:00	Diwan Sport
Turkey	19:00	S Sport 2
Ukraine	19:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United Kingdom	17:00	BBC Alba, BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport, DAZN
Uruguay	13:00	Disney+
Usa	12:00	CBS Sports Network, NBC Universo, Paramount+, Peacock, SportsEngine Play, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW
Venezuela	12:00	Disney+, ESPN 3


	Napoli		Bologna

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	4.5	Watch
	1.83	3.70	4.10
	1.82	3.45	4.4	Watch
	1.86	3.7	4.77
	1.9	3.66	4.31	Watch
	1.82	3.55	4.7
	1.83	3.65	4.56
	1.81	3.65	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.69)	3.62 ↓ (3.7)	4.48 ↓ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Napoli
52.2%

Draw
26.4%

Bologna
21.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.1%

25.6%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

24.5%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Napoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Bologna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Napoli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.1%	9.5%	6.3%

Napoli - Bologna Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (2.03) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Bologna (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Napoli (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Napoli (1.88) (votes: 88%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Napoli will win (53 of 63 users predict this - 84.13%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.11% – 93.15%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Napoli will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Napoli (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Bologna (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Milinkovic-Savic V. (G) 22. Di Lorenzo G. (C) 13. Rrahmani A. 16. Marin R. 37. Spinazzola L. 6. Gilmour B. 68. Lobotka S. 11. De Bruyne K. 21. Politano M. 19. Hojlund R. 26. Vergara A.	25. Pessina M. (G) 2. Holm E. 14. Heggem T. 3. Theate A. 33. Miranda J. 4. Pobega T. 19. Ferguson L. (C) 8. Amondarain M. 10. Bernardeschi F. 91. Piccoli R. 28. Cambiaghi N.
Substitutes
5. Badiashile B. 31. Beukema S. 14. Contini N. (G) 7. David Neres 2. Favasuli C. 70. Lang N. 20. Lucca L. 17. Olivera M. 12. Pugliese C. (G)	23. Alhassane R. 16. Casale N. 29. De Silvestri L. 22. Enem J. 5. Fauske Helland E. 82. Franceschelli M. (G) 18. Libra M. 11. Mbangula S. 6. Moro N. 21. Odgaard J. 1. Skorupski L. (G) 41. Vitik M.
Coaches
Allegri M.	Tedesco D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Amondarain M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Vergara A. ↓, Lang N. ↑,
46', Politano M. ↓, Favasuli C. ↑,
58', Pobega T. ↓, Libra M. ↑,
58', Piccoli R. ↓, Odgaard J. ↑,
66', Amondarain M. ↓, Moro N. ↑,
66', 1 - 0, Lobotka S. ⚽, Favasuli C. (A),
75', Hojlund R. ↓, Lucca L. ↑,
82', Cambiaghi N. ↓, Mbangula S. ↑,
82', Bernardeschi F. ↓, Enem J. ↑,
88', De Bruyne K. ↓, Olivera M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 2.

Napoli has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bologna has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Napoli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Napoli is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Napoli: Alisson Santos (Muscle Injury) Anguissa F. (Muscle Injury) Buongiorno A. (Knee Injury) Giovane (Groin Injury) Marianucci L. (Knee Injury) McTominay S. (Heart Problems) Meret A. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Bologna: Dovbyk A. (Muscle Injury) El Azzouzi O. (Thigh Injury) Orsolini R. (Injury) Zortea N. (Hip Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 42:23. (average 2.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Napoli won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:13. (average 2.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Napoli	9	4	2	3	17:11	6	14
11	Bologna	9	3	2	4	12:12	0	11

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Napoli: 1.48% Bologna: 0.24%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSC Napoli
UEFA Champions League
09.09.26	Napoli - Arsenal	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
05.09.26	Inter Milan - Napoli	3:2 ✺
30.08.26	Napoli - Como	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Genoa - Napoli	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
12.08.26	Napoli - Aris	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLWW
- Bologna FC
Italian Serie A
06.09.26	Bologna - Sassuolo	2:2 ✺
31.08.26	Atalanta - Bologna	1:0 ✺
24.08.26	Bologna - Lazio	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Bologna	1:0 ✺
25.07.26	Bologna - Iraklis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
11.05.26	Napoli - Bologna	2:3
Italian Super Cup
22.12.25	Napoli - Bologna	2:0
Italian Serie A
09.11.25	Bologna - Napoli	2:0
07.04.25	Bologna - Napoli	1:1
25.08.24	Napoli - Bologna	3:0
11.05.24	Napoli - Bologna	0:2
24.09.23	Bologna - Napoli	0:0

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