The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Napoli 58.8%
Draw 23.6%
Genoa 17.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.2%
24.2%
18.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.9%
23.5%
18.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
Genoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Napoli - Genoa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Thisgaard F. (G) 44. Pettenuzzo T. 16. Jusjong M. 32. Vergani B. 67. Giordano M. 14. Faurskov L. 23. Bellucci M. (C) 19. Sciabica M. 8. Kozak K. 10. Banusic M. 11. Floe C.
21. Forcinella C. (G) 17. Acuti A. (C) 15. Di Criscio F. 23. Vigilucci V. 20. Giles H. 18. Lie N. 19. Hilaj A. 8. Cuschieri R. 13. Bahr E. 29. Georgsdottir B. 45. Massa A.
Substitutes
7. Barker H. M. 1. Beretta B. (G) 17. Carcassi A. 24. D'Angelo A. 26. D'Angelo O. 30. Hornschuch S. (G) 27. Kainulainen E. 12. Kjolholdt S. 90. Langella G. 77. Musumeci V. 20. Troan M. 5. Veletanlic E.
5. Abate G. 22. Bargi C. 10. Cinotti N. 16. Curraj A. 14. Ferrara A. 33. Korenciova M. (G) 2. Lipman E. 74. Lucafo S. 1. Marchetti L. (G) 44. Mele C. 27. Monterubbiano V. 9. Sondengaard A.
Coaches
Sassarini D.
De La Fuente S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Kozak K. ⚽,
7', Acuti A. 🟨,
34', 2 - 0, Floe C. ⚽, Bellucci M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Massa A. ↓, Sondengaard A. ↑,
55', Faurskov L. ↓, Barker H. M. ↑,
55', Sciabica M. ↓, Langella G. ↑,
67', Lie N. ↓, Monterubbiano V. ↑,
77', 3 - 0, Floe C. ⚽,
80', Acuti A. ↓, Cinotti N. ↑,
80', Hilaj A. ↓, Curraj A. ↑,
83', 4 - 0, Floe C. ⚽, Banusic M. (A),
84', Floe C. ↓, Musumeci V. ↑,
85', Bahr E. ↓, Bargi C. ↑,
89', Jusjong M. ↓, Troan M. ↑,
89', Pettenuzzo T. ↓, D'Angelo A. ↑,
90+2', 4 - 1, Sondengaard A. ⚽, Curraj A. (A),
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 5 and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Women).
Napoli has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Genoa is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
In this match, Napoli is the team to beat.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 3.5:0.5).
Including home match between the teams, Napoli won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.