Match Info

Serie A - Round 12

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Artemio Franchi (Florence)

Referee: Doveri D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Caze TV, Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada, TLN, VIVA
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Kuwait	Shasha
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	ESPN Norte
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-america	ESPN 4 South
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab


	Fiorentina		Juventus

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.3	2.05	Watch
	3.7	3.25	2.12	Watch
	3.95	3.43	2.04
	3.83	3.55	1.96	Watch
	4.18	3.46	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.89 ↑ (3.79)	3.4 ↓ (3.5)	2.03 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Fiorentina
24.6%

Draw
28.2%

Juventus
47.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25%

27.1%

47.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

27.2%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Juventus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventus than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.2%	12.2%	75.6%

Fiorentina - Juventus Predictions

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 5 - 12.2%). Juventus will win (votes: 31 - 75.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 12.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Juventus: 62.5% – 88.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Juventus will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
43. de Gea D. (G) 5. Pongracic M. 18. Mari P. 6. Ranieri L. (C) 2. Dodo 7. Sohm S. 44. Fagioli N. 8. Mandragora R. 65. Parisi F. 91. Piccoli R. 20. Kean M.	16. Di Gregorio M. (G) 15. Kalulu P. 6. Kelly L. 8. Koopmeiners T. 27. Cambiaso A. 5. Locatelli M. (C) 19. Thuram K. 18. Kostic F. 22. McKennie W. 10. Yildiz K. 9. Vlahovic D.
Substitutes
15. Comuzzo P. 9. Dzeko E. 22. Fazzini J. 29. Fortini N. 10. Gudmundsson A. 60. Kouadio E. 1. Lezzerini L. (G) 30. Martinelli T. (G) 27. Ndour C. 14. Nicolussi Caviglia H. 24. Richardson A. 26. Viti M.	17. Adzic V. 32. Cabal J. 7. Conceicao F. 30. David J. 4. Gatti F. 25. Joao Mario 21. Miretti F. 20. Openda L. 44. Pedro Felipe 1. Perin M. (G) 40. Rouhi J. 42. Scaglia S. (G) 11. Zhegrova E.
Coaches
Vanoli P.	Spalletti L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Fagioli N. 🟨,
42', McKennie W. 🟨,
45+6', 0 - 1, Kostic F. ⚽, Vlahovic D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Dodo ↓, Fortini N. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Mandragora R. ⚽, Kean M. (A),
60', Sohm S. ↓, Ndour C. ↑,
60', Piccoli R. ↓, Gudmundsson A. ↑,
66', Kostic F. ↓, Cabal J. ↑,
66', Thuram K. ↓, Miretti F. ↑,
69', Parisi F. ↓, Kouadio E. ↑,
76', Cambiaso A. ↓, Conceicao F. ↑,
82', Ranieri L. ↓, Viti M. ↑,
84', Mandragora R. 🟨,
84', Cabal J. 🟨,
88', Yildiz K. ↓, Openda L. ↑,
88', Vlahovic D. ↓, David J. ↑,
90+1', Parisi F. 🟨,
90+3', Miretti F. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 1.

Fiorentina is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Juventus's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Juventus could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Fiorentina: Gosens R. (Thigh Injury) Kouame C. (Knee Injury) Lamptey T. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Juventus: Bremer (Knee Injury) Milik A. (Calf Injury) Pinsoglio C. (Calf Injury) Rugani D. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Juventus: Rouhi J. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 16:25. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Fiorentina won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 0.9:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fiorentina
Italian Serie A
09.11.25	Genoa - Fiorentina	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.11.25	Mainz - Fiorentina	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
02.11.25	Fiorentina - Lecce	0:1 ✺
29.10.25	Inter Milan - Fiorentina	3:0 ✺
26.10.25	Fiorentina - Bologna	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLLLT
- Juventus
Italian Serie A
08.11.25	Juventus - Torino	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
04.11.25	Juventus - Sporting Lisbon	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
01.11.25	Cremonese - Juventus	1:2 ✺
29.10.25	Juventus - Udinese	3:1 ✺
26.10.25	Lazio - Juventus	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
16.03.25	Fiorentina - Juventus	3:0
29.12.24	Juventus - Fiorentina	2:2
07.04.24	Juventus - Fiorentina	1:0
05.11.23	Fiorentina - Juventus	0:1
12.02.23	Juventus - Fiorentina	1:0
03.09.22	Fiorentina - Juventus	1:1
21.05.22	Fiorentina - Juventus	2:0

Upcoming Matches