Match Info

Serie A - Round 13

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Olimpico (Rome) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Massa D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 3, New World Sport 2, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, ZAP
Albania	20:45	Tring Sport 1
Angola	20:45	Z Sports 2
Argentina	16:45	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 3
Armenia	23:45	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	06:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	20:45	DAZN
Azerbaijan	23:45	Setanta Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	16:45	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	21:45	Max Sport 3
Canada	14:45	DAZN Canada
China	03:45	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	14:45	ESPN 2, ESPN 3
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	20:45	Sport 1
Denmark	20:45	TV2 Play
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	21:45	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	20:45	DAZN France
Georgia	23:45	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	20:45	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	21:45	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong Kong	03:45	beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	20:45	Match 4
Indonesia	02:45	Vidio
Israel	21:45	Sport 1
Italy	20:45	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	04:45	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	20:45	Arena Premium 2, ART Sport 1
Kuwait	22:45	Shasha
Kyrgyzstan	01:45	Setanta Sports 1
Macao	03:45	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	03:45	Astro Arena Bola, Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	20:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	13:45	Disney+, ESPN
Moldova	21:45	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	20:45	Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	08:45	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	20:45	VG+
Peru	14:45	Disney+
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	19:45	Sport TV4
Romania	21:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	22:45	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	22:45	STC TV
Serbia	20:45	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	20:45	Sport 1
Slovenia	20:45	Arena Sport 2
South Korea	04:45	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:45	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	03:45	ELTA Sports 2
Tajikistan	00:45	Futbol TV, Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	02:45	True ID
Tunisia	20:45	Diwan Sport
Turkey	22:45	S Sport 2, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	00:45	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	19:45	DAZN, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	16:45	Disney+
Usa	14:45	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	00:45	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	15:45	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	02:45	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab


	Roma		Napoli

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.8	3	Watch
	2.72	2.82	3.05	Watch
	2.81	2.85	3.14
	2.54	2.87	3.22	Watch
	2.81	2.86	3.07
	2.75	2.75	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.57)	2.83 ↓ (3.06)	3.1 ↓ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roma
35.1%

Draw
33.9%

Napoli
31%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.5%

31.5%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

31.7%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

The chances for Napoli have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.7%	33.3%	10%

Roma - Napoli Predictions

Users Predictions: 58 users predict this event. Roma will win (votes: 33 - 56.9%). Napoli will win (votes: 6 - 10.3%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 32.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Roma: 44.2% – 69.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Roma (votes: 12 - 52.2%). Tie (votes: 11 - 47.8%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Roma (1.83) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 25 Selected Experts predict this event. Roma (votes: 13 - 52%). Napoli (votes: 1 - 4%). Tie (votes: 11 - 44%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Svilar M. (G) 23. Mancini G. 5. Ndicka E. 22. Hermoso M. 19. Celik Z. 17. Kone M. 4. Cristante B. (C) 43. Wesley Franca 18. Soule M. 7. Pellegrini Lo. 11. Ferguson E.	32. Milinkovic-Savic V. (G) 31. Beukema S. 13. Rrahmani A. 4. Buongiorno A. 22. Di Lorenzo G. (C) 68. Lobotka S. 8. McTominay S. 17. Olivera M. 7. David Neres 19. Hojlund R. 70. Lang N.
Substitutes
31. Bailey L. 35. Baldanzi T. 66. Buba Aboubacar 21. Dybala P. 8. El Aynaoui N. 92. El Shaarawy S. 87. Ghilardi D. 95. Gollini P. (G) 61. Pisilli N. 2. Rensch D. 12. Tsimikas K. 32. Vasquez Llach D. S. (G) 24. Ziolkowski J.	69. Ambrosino G. 14. Contini N. (G) 20. Elmas E. 25. Ferrante M. (G) 5. Juan Jesus 27. Lucca L. 35. Marianucci L. 30. Mazzocchi P. 21. Politano M. 37. Spinazzola L. 26. Vergara A.
Coaches
Gritti T.	Conte A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, David Neres ⚽, Hojlund R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ferguson E. ↓, Baldanzi T. ↑,
55', Cristante B. 🟨,
62', Cristante B. ↓, El Aynaoui N. ↑,
62', Soule M. ↓, Dybala P. ↑,
63', Lobotka S. 🟨,
64', Beukema S. 🟨,
69', Lang N. ↓, Politano M. ↑,
73', Baldanzi T. 🟨,
80', Hojlund R. ↓, Elmas E. ↑,
80', Pellegrini Lo. ↓, Bailey L. ↑,
82', Wesley Franca ↓, El Shaarawy S. ↑,
85', David Neres ↓, Lucca L. ↑,
86', Ndicka E. 🟨,
90+3', El Shaarawy S. 🟨,
90+6', Olivera M. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roma won 1.

Roma is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Napoli has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Napoli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Napoli has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Roma: Angelino (Illness) Bove E. (Heart Problems) Dovbyk A. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Napoli: Anguissa F. (Thigh Injury) De Bruyne K. (Thigh Injury) Gilmour B. (Groin Injury) Gutierrez M. (Ankle Injury) Lukaku R. (Thigh Injury) Meret A. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Napoli: Spinazzola L. (Groin Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Roma won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:28. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Roma won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.8:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Roma
UEFA Europa League
27.11.25	Roma - Midtjylland	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
23.11.25	Cremonese - Roma	1:3 ✺
09.11.25	Roma - Udinese	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	Glasgow Rangers - Roma	0:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
02.11.25	Milan - Roma	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWWL
- SSC Napoli
UEFA Champions League
25.11.25	Napoli - Qarabağ Agdam	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
22.11.25	Napoli - Atalanta	3:1 ✺
09.11.25	Bologna - Napoli	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
04.11.25	Napoli - Eintracht Frankfurt	0:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
01.11.25	Napoli - Como	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
02.02.25	Roma - Napoli	1:1
24.11.24	Napoli - Roma	1:0
28.04.24	Napoli - Roma	2:2
23.12.23	Roma - Napoli	2:0
29.01.23	Napoli - Roma	2:1
23.10.22	Roma - Napoli	0:1
18.04.22	Napoli - Roma	1:1

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