Match Info

Serie A - Round 11

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Renato Dall'Ara (Bologna)

Referee: Chiffi D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Bologna		Napoli

	1	X	2
	3	2.9	2.63	Watch
	2.98	2.98	2.68	Watch
	3.06	3	2.73
	2.97	3.12	2.54	Watch
	3.25	2.98	2.58
	2.99	3.12	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.97)	3.02 ↓ (3.12)	2.64 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bologna
31.6%

Draw
31.9%

Napoli
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

30.5%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

31.2%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Napoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.7%	32.4%	52.9%

Bologna - Napoli Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Bologna will win (votes: 5 - 14.7%). Napoli will win (votes: 18 - 52.9%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 32.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Napoli: 36.1% – 69.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Bologna (1.72) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

1X2, 1st Half - draw (3.31) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

DNB - Napoli (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Bologna (1.47) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Napoli (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Bologna (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Napoli (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Skorupski L. (G) 2. Holm E. 14. Heggem T. 26. Lucumi J. 33. Miranda J. 4. Pobega T. 19. Ferguson L. (C) 7. Orsolini R. 21. Odgaard J. 11. Rowe J. 24. Dallinga T.	32. Milinkovic-Savic V. (G) 22. Di Lorenzo G. 13. Rrahmani A. 4. Buongiorno A. 3. Gutierrez M. 99. Anguissa F. 68. Lobotka S. 8. McTominay S. 21. Politano M. 19. Hojlund R. 20. Elmas E.
Substitutes
10. Bernardeschi F. 28. Cambiaghi N. 16. Casale N. 9. Castro S. 29. De Silvestri L. 30. Dominguez B. 80. Fabbian G. 72. Happonen U. (G) 22. Lykogiannis C. 6. Moro N. 25. Pessina M. (G) 77. Sulemana I. 41. Vitik M. 20. Zortea N.	69. Ambrosino G. 31. Beukema S. 14. Contini N. (G) 7. David Neres 25. Ferrante M. (G) 5. Juan Jesus 70. Lang N. 27. Lucca L. 35. Marianucci L. 30. Mazzocchi P. 17. Olivera M. 26. Vergara A.
Coaches
Italiano V.	Conte A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Skorupski L. ↓, Pessina M. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Rowe J. ↓, Cambiaghi N. ↑,
50', 1 - 0, Dallinga T. ⚽, Cambiaghi N. (A),
61', Odgaard J. ↓, Bernardeschi F. ↑,
63', Hojlund R. 🟨,
66', 2 - 0, Lucumi J. ⚽, Holm E. (A),
68', Politano M. ↓, David Neres ↑,
68', Elmas E. ↓, Lang N. ↑,
71', Lang N. 🟨,
74', Orsolini R. 🟨,
76', David Neres 🟨,
77', Gutierrez M. ↓, Olivera M. ↑,
77', Buongiorno A. ↓, Juan Jesus ↑,
81', Orsolini R. ↓, Casale N. ↑,
81', Pobega T. ↓, Moro N. ↑,
82', McTominay S. ↓, Lucca L. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bologna won 1.

Bologna is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Napoli has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Napoli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Bologna: Bonifazi K. (Inactive) Freuler R. (Injury)

There will not play in Napoli: De Bruyne K. (Thigh Injury) Lukaku R. (Thigh Injury) Meret A. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Bologna: Immobile C. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Napoli: Gilmour B. (Groin Injury) Spinazzola L. (Hip Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bologna won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 22:49. (average 1.1:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Bologna won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:21. (average 1.1:2.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Napoli - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 37.46%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bologna FC
UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	Bologna - Brann	0:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
02.11.25	Parma - Bologna	1:3 ✺
29.10.25	Bologna - Torino	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Fiorentina - Bologna	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
23.10.25	FCSB - Bologna	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TWTTW
- SSC Napoli
UEFA Champions League
04.11.25	Napoli - Eintracht Frankfurt	0:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
01.11.25	Napoli - Como	0:0 ✺
28.10.25	Lecce - Napoli	0:1 ✺
25.10.25	Napoli - Inter Milan	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.10.25	PSV Eindhoven - Napoli	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
07.04.25	Bologna - Napoli	1:1
25.08.24	Napoli - Bologna	3:0
11.05.24	Napoli - Bologna	0:2
24.09.23	Bologna - Napoli	0:0
28.05.23	Bologna - Napoli	2:2
16.10.22	Napoli - Bologna	3:2
17.01.22	Bologna - Napoli	0:2

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