The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Napredak Kruševac 39.3%
Draw 30.5%
Radnik Surdulica 30.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.9%
26.4%
20.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.7%
24.3%
22.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Napredak Kruševac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Napredak Kruševac's form might have worsened.
Radnik Surdulica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Radnik Surdulica's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napredak Kruševac than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Napredak Kruševac, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radnik Surdulica than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Radnik Surdulica, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Radnik (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Napredak Kruševac will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Napredak (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Radnik (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
84. Balevic L. (G) 11. Majdevac A. 10. Vulic M. 7. Vukajlovic N. 5. Bukorac S. 23. Zlicic L. 15. Lutovac A. 12. Bastajic N. (C) 95. Miletic V. 77. Drobnjak L. 24. Ignjatovic U.
99. Randjelovic S. (C) 30. Novakovic M. 6. Stojanovic D. 28. Pejovic A. 15. Empis P. 7. Owusu D. 5. Popovic M. 24. Stevanovic M. 88. Jovanovic D. 4. Hajdarevic H. 9. Bogdanovic V.
Substitutes
33. Bogdanovski N. 9. Bubanj M. 27. Cubra D. 44. Hajdin S. 14. Laban L. 99. Mihajlovic P. 88. Saric M. 1. Savic V. (G) 31. Subert I. 22. Toseski M.
77. Chinedu S. 22. Filimonovic U. 21. Filipovic U. 26. Ilic S. (G) 25. Lakic T. 49. Markocevic D. 8. Puzovic L. 47. Quarshie E. 80. Raskovic S.
Coaches
Nikolic M.
Jaksic M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 3)
3', 0 - 1, Owusu D. ⚽,
13', 0 - 2, Bogdanovic V. ⚽,
13', Bukorac S. ↓, Subert I. ↑,
39', 1 - 2, Empis P. (Own goal),
45+1', Subert I. 🟨,
45+2', Balevic L. 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 3, Owusu D. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Zlicic L. ↓, Toseski M. ↑,
52', Toseski M. 🟨,
58', Vulic M. 🟨,
67', Miletic V. ↓, Saric M. ↑,
70', Novakovic M. ↓, Raskovic S. ↑,
70', Empis P. ↓, Filipovic U. ↑,
72', Owusu D. 🟨,
74', Jovanovic D. 🟨,
90', Owusu D. ↓, Filimonovic U. ↑,
90+2', Bogdanovic V. ↓, Chinedu S. ↑,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 in the zone Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 16 in the zone Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napredak won 1.
In recent matches, Napredak has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Radnik is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Napredak will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Napredak won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1.1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Napredak won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.8:0.9).