Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 12

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	Naprzód Jędrzejów		Star Starachowice

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.7	1.85
	3.29	3.46	1.95
	6.30	4.64	1.40	Watch
	3.54	3.64	1.85	Watch
	2.7	3.6	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.83 ↑ (2.75)	3.81 ↑ (3.68)	1.84 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Naprzód Jędrzejów
24.5%

Draw
24.6%

Star Starachowice
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

24.8%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

23.9%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naprzód Jędrzejów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Naprzód Jędrzejów's form might have worsened.

Star Starachowice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Star Starachowice's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naprzód Jędrzejów than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Naprzód Jędrzejów, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Star Starachowice than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Star Starachowice, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Naprzód Jędrzejów - Star Starachowice Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Winsztal P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 7).

Naprzód Jędrzejów has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Star Starachowice is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naprzód Jędrzejów
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
04.10.25	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Naprzód Jędrzejów	4:0 ✺
27.09.25	Naprzód Jędrzejów - Korona Kielce 2	1:4 ✺
21.09.25	Sparta Kazimierza Wielka - Naprzód Jędrzejów	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Naprzód Jędrzejów - Wisła II Kraków	3:2 ✺
06.09.25	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Naprzód Jędrzejów	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LLWWL
- Star Starachowice
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
04.10.25	Star Starachowice - Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Wiślanie Skawina - Star Starachowice	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Star Starachowice - Wisłoka Dębica	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Star Starachowice - Korona Kielce 2	3:2 ✺
07.09.25	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Star Starachowice	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WTTWT

Upcoming Matches