Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 11

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Star Starachowice		Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna

	1	X	2
	1.61	4	4.1
	1.6	4.05	4.25
	1.76	3.81	3.91	Watch
	1.63	4	4.26	Watch
	1.68	3.8	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.46)	3.93 ↓ (4.3)	4.1 ↓ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Star Starachowice
54.8%

Draw
23.1%

Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

20.8%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

20%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Star Starachowice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Star Starachowice's form might have worsened.

Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Star Starachowice than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Star Starachowice, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Star Starachowice - Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Stanislawski S. ⚽,
31', 2 - 0, Stanislawski S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
80', 🟥,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Star Starachowice is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kolbuszowa Dolna is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Star Starachowice is a strong favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Star Starachowice
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
27.09.25	Wiślanie Skawina - Star Starachowice	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Star Starachowice - Wisłoka Dębica	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Star Starachowice - Korona Kielce 2	3:2 ✺
07.09.25	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Star Starachowice	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Star Starachowice - Wisła II Kraków	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TTWTW
- Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
27.09.25	Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna - Cracovia 2	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Stal Kraśnik - Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna	3:1 ✺
14.09.25	Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	2:4 ✺
05.09.25	Wisłoka Dębica - Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna - Sparta Kazimierza Wielka	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLLT

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