Match Info

JAPAN: J3 League - Round 37

Date: 17 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Konoike Athletic Stadium (Nara)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Nara Club		Grulla Morioka

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.5	4.5
	1.67	3.6	4.5	Watch
	1.72	3.66	4.87
	1.74	3.67	4.59	Watch
	1.62	3.5	4.4
	1.64	3.66	4.67	Watch
	1.67	3.6	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.49)	3.6 ↓ (3.96)	4.58 ↓ (5.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nara Club
54.7%

Draw
25.4%

Grulla Morioka
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61%

23%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

22.1%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nara Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nara Club's form might have worsened.

Grulla Morioka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nara Club than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nara Club, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grulla Morioka than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Nara Club - Grulla Morioka Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Nara Club will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Grulla Morioka will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Okada S. (G) 23. Kotani Y. 22. Ikoma K. 13. Tsunami Y. 40. Yoshimura Y. 14. Nakashima K. 25. Kamigaki R. 11. Nishida M. 31. Okada Y. 15. Gustavsson P. 9. Sakai T.	1. Okubo T. (G) 3. Saito R. 51. Fukatsu K. 18. Miyaichi T. 11. Kiri S. 30. Adachi S. 17. Niizato R. 41. Domoto H. 39. Kawabe S. 15. Kagami T. 46. Nakamura A.
Substitutes
20. Kunitake Y. 19. Matsumoto K. 5. Suzuki D. 43. Tamura R. 96. Vito M. (G) 10. Yamamoto S. 39. Yomesaka S.	31. Kim Sung-Kon (G) 13. Kogure D. 45. Mizuno H. 19. Sato M. 20. Shimogami S. 23. Toyoda K. 24. Yamauchi S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Sakai T. ⚽, Okada Y. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Domoto H. ↓, Sato M. ↑,
64', Adachi S. ↓, Toyoda K. ↑,
64', Kiri S. ↓, Mizuno H. ↑,
65', Toyoda K. 🟨,
66', Gustavsson P. ↓, Tamura R. ↑,
83', Saito R. ↓, Kogure D. ↑,
86', Yoshimura Y. ↓, Yomesaka S. ↑,
86', Sakai T. ↓, Matsumoto K. ↑,
89', Okada Y. ↓, Yamamoto S. ↑,
89', Kamigaki R. ↓, Kunitake Y. ↑,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nara Club
Japan J3 League
10.11.24	Sagamihara - Nara Club	1:2 ✺
02.11.24	Nara Club - Fukushima United	1:1 ✺
26.10.24	Nara Club - Kamatamare Sanuki	2:2 ✺
20.10.24	Vanraure Hachinohe - Nara Club	0:0 ✺
13.10.24	Nara Club - Osaka	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WTTTL
- Grulla Morioka
Japan J3 League
09.11.24	Grulla Morioka - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:6 ✺
03.11.24	Zweigen Kanazawa - Grulla Morioka	1:1 ✺
27.10.24	Grulla Morioka - Omiya Ardija	1:2 ✺
20.10.24	Grulla Morioka - Gifu	0:6 ✺
13.10.24	Gainare Tottori - Grulla Morioka	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
10.04.24	Grulla Morioka - Nara Club	2:1
29.07.23	Grulla Morioka - Nara Club	1:1
16.04.23	Nara Club - Grulla Morioka	1:0

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