Match Info

JAPAN: J3 League - Round 35

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Ishikawa Athletics Stadium (Kanazawa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Zweigen Kanazawa		Grulla Morioka

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.2	6
	1.39	4.3	6.8
	1.4	4.49	7.48
	1.43	4.4	7.09	Watch
	1.35	4.2	6.5
	1.38	4.33	6.96	Watch
	1.39	4.3	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.42)	4.32 ↑ (4.2)	6.8 ↑ (6.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zweigen Kanazawa
65.5%

Draw
21.1%

Grulla Morioka
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

21.7%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

14.4%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zweigen Kanazawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Grulla Morioka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zweigen Kanazawa than the current prediction. (-22.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zweigen Kanazawa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grulla Morioka than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grulla Morioka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Zweigen Kanazawa - Grulla Morioka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Ueda I. (G) 39. Shoji H. 38. Yamamoto N. 4. Inoue R. 14. Ishihara T. 15. Nishiya Y. 18. Kumagai A. 2. Nagamine Y. 6. Kajiura Y. 24. Nishiya K. 71. Taguchi Y.	21. Inaba A. (G) 22. Nishi D. 77. Komatsu K. 18. Miyaichi T. 30. Adachi S. 10. Otabor K. 17. Niizato R. 46. Nakamura A. 15. Kagami T. 39. Kawabe S. 19. Sato M.
Substitutes
3. Hatao H. 77. Marlyson 16. Mori S. 30. Otani H. 10. Shimada S. 1. Shirai Y. (G) 11. Sugiura K.	41. Domoto H. 99. Duarte Correia S. 4. Fukagawa D. 32. Kamisasanuki M. 31. Kim Sung-Kon (G) 11. Kiri S. 24. Yamauchi S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+1', 0 - 1, Kawabe S. ⚽, Nakamura A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 1 - 1, Nagamine Y. ⚽,
58', Nakamura A. ↓, Fukagawa D. ↑,
65', Nishiya Y. ↓, Otani H. ↑,
73', Sato M. ↓, Duarte Correia S. ↑,
74', Niizato R. ↓, Kiri S. ↑,
76', Kumagai A. 🟨,
77', Taguchi Y. ↓, Sugiura K. ↑,
77', Kumagai A. ↓, Shimada S. ↑,
85', Shoji H. ↓, Hatao H. ↑,
85', Nishiya K. ↓, Mori S. ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 20).

Recent matches Kanazawa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Grulla Morioka is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Grulla Morioka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Kanazawa is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Kanazawa won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:2 (average 2.3:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Kanazawa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zweigen Kanazawa
Japan J3 League
26.10.24	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:2 ✺
20.10.24	Zweigen Kanazawa - Azul Claro Numazu	0:1 ✺
13.10.24	Matsumoto Yamaga - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:1 ✺
06.10.24	Zweigen Kanazawa - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:1 ✺
28.09.24	Gifu - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLTTL
- Grulla Morioka
Japan J3 League
27.10.24	Grulla Morioka - Omiya Ardija	1:2 ✺
20.10.24	Grulla Morioka - Gifu	0:6 ✺
13.10.24	Gainare Tottori - Grulla Morioka	2:1 ✺
04.10.24	Osaka - Grulla Morioka	1:0 ✺
29.09.24	Grulla Morioka - Giravanz Kitakyushu	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
03.05.24	Grulla Morioka - Zweigen Kanazawa	0:2
Japan J2 League
25.09.22	Grulla Morioka - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:3
29.05.22	Zweigen Kanazawa - Grulla Morioka	2:1

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