Match Info

JAPAN: J3 League - Round 36

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Kitakami Stadium (Kitakami)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Grulla Morioka		Matsumoto Yamaga

	1	X	2
	6.25	4	1.42
	6.2	4.2	1.43	Watch
	7.19	4.34	1.43
	6.6	4.32	1.47	Watch
	6.5	4.2	1.36
	6.48	4.25	1.41	Watch
	6.2	4.2	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.49 ↓ (7.2)	4.22 ↓ (4.54)	1.42 ↑ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grulla Morioka
14.1%

Draw
21.7%

Matsumoto Yamaga
64.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.7%

20.1%

67.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.5%

19.8%

68.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grulla Morioka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Matsumoto Yamaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grulla Morioka than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (+4%)

Grulla Morioka - Matsumoto Yamaga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Inaba A. (G) 22. Nishi D. 3. Saito R. 18. Miyaichi T. 10. Otabor K. 4. Fukagawa D. 30. Adachi S. 32. Kamisasanuki M. 15. Kagami T. 46. Nakamura A. 39. Kawabe S.	1. Ouchi I. (G) 44. Nonomura T. 4. Takahashi S. 2. Miyabe T. 22. Saso K. 15. Yamamoto K. 46. Yasunaga R. 17. Yamamoto R. 41. Murakoshi K. 10. Kikui Y. 14. Ando T.
Substitutes
99. Duarte Correia S. 45. Mizuno H. 17. Niizato R. 1. Okubo T. (G) 19. Sato M. 20. Shimogami S. 24. Yamauchi S.	11. Asakawa H. 13. Hashiuchi Y. 40. Higuchi D. 30. Kokubu R. 16. Murayama T. (G) 25. Nakamura J. 9. Takai K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 4)
4', 0 - 1, Murakoshi K. ⚽, Saso K. (A),
20', 0 - 2, Takahashi S. ⚽,
40', 0 - 3, Yasunaga R. ⚽, Kikui Y. (A),
44', 0 - 4, Kikui Y. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Miyaichi T. ↓, Niizato R. ↑,
46', Fukagawa D. ↓, Mizuno H. ↑,
46', Kamisasanuki M. ↓, Sato M. ↑,
48', Nonomura T. 🟨,
49', 0 - 5, Ando T. ⚽, Murakoshi K. (A),
61', Kikui Y. ↓, Takai K. ↑,
61', Ando T. ↓, Asakawa H. ↑,
66', Sato M. 🟨,
66', Nakamura A. ↓, Shimogami S. ↑,
74', 0 - 6, Asakawa H. ⚽, Yamamoto K. (A),
77', Murakoshi K. ↓, Nakamura J. ↑,
77', Yamamoto R. ↓, Higuchi D. ↑,
79', 1 - 6, Otabor K. ⚽,
81', Otabor K. ↓, Duarte Correia S. ↑,
85', Duarte Correia S. 🟨,
85', Yamamoto K. ↓, Kokubu R. ↑,
90', Duarte Correia S. 🟨,
90+5', Inaba A. ↓, Okubo T. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Grulla Morioka has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Matsumoto Yamaga is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Matsumoto Yamaga is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Grulla Morioka won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.7:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Grulla Morioka won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grulla Morioka
Japan J3 League
03.11.24	Zweigen Kanazawa - Grulla Morioka	1:1 ✺
27.10.24	Grulla Morioka - Omiya Ardija	1:2 ✺
20.10.24	Grulla Morioka - Gifu	0:6 ✺
13.10.24	Gainare Tottori - Grulla Morioka	2:1 ✺
04.10.24	Osaka - Grulla Morioka	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLLLL
- Matsumoto Yamaga
Japan J3 League
02.11.24	Matsumoto Yamaga - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:0 ✺
26.10.24	YSCC - Matsumoto Yamaga	0:2 ✺
20.10.24	Matsumoto Yamaga - Gainare Tottori	3:4 ✺
13.10.24	Matsumoto Yamaga - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:1 ✺
05.10.24	Nagano Parceiro - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
20.03.24	Matsumoto Yamaga - Grulla Morioka	1:0
08.10.23	Matsumoto Yamaga - Grulla Morioka	1:4
24.06.23	Grulla Morioka - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:0

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