Match Info
Serie D - Group H - Round 20Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Gravina |
|
Nardo |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.48 |
3.15 |
2.52 |
|
 |
2.5 |
3.26 |
2.59 |
 Watch |
 |
2.45 |
3.22 |
2.54 |
|
 |
2.5 |
3.2 |
2.57 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.48
(2.48) |
3.21 ↑
(3.15) |
2.56 ↑
(2.52) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Gravina
36.4% | Draw
28.2% | Nardo
35.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gravina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Nardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gravina than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nardo than the current prediction. (-0.4%)Gravina - Nardo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 45', 0 - 1, D'Anna S. ⚽,
- 45', 1 - 1, Santoro D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 80', 2 - 1, Santoro D. ⚽,
- 90+3', 2 - 2, De Luca A. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: ) and 6).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gravina won 1.Gravina is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).Nardo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2). In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Gravina won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 0.9:1.5).Including home matches between the teams, Gravina won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 6 | Gravina | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 11 |
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| 14 | A.C.D. Nardo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:11 | -6 | 5 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Italian Serie D - Group H | | | 21.09.25 | Nardo - Gravina | 1:1 | | 27.10.24 | Nardo - Gravina | 5:1 | | 21.01.24 | Nardo - Gravina | 1:0 | | 24.09.23 | Gravina - Nardo | 1:0 | | 19.03.23 | Nardo - Gravina | 1:0 | | 13.11.22 | Gravina - Nardo | 0:2 | | 13.02.22 | Nardo - Gravina | 2:3 |
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