Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 22

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday


	Nola		Nardo

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.2	2.72
	2.35	3.25	2.78	Watch
	2.34	3.18	2.78
	2.36	3.2	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.3)	3.21 ↑ (3.2)	2.76 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nola
38.8%

Draw
28.3%

Nardo
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

28%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

29.1%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Nardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nola than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nardo than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Nola - Nardo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Romano A. ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, Garnica A. ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 1, Galano C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
72', 3 - 1, D'Angelo A. ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 and 6)

Recent performances by Nola have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Nardo is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Nola won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Nola won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	A.C.D. Nardo	6	1	2	3	5:11	-6	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Nola 1925
Italian Serie D - Group H
25.01.26	Nola - Città di Fasano	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Afragolese - Nola	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	Nola - Real Normanna	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Gravina - Nola	0:2 ✺
21.12.25	Martina Calcio - Nola	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTTWL
- ACD Nardo
Italian Serie D - Group H
25.01.26	Nardo - Real Normanna	1:0 ✺
18.01.26	Gravina - Nardo	2:2 ✺
11.01.26	Nardo - Martina Calcio	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Paganese - Nardo	0:1 ✺
21.12.25	Barletta - Nardo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
28.09.25	Nardo - Nola	0:2
20.03.22	Nardo - Nola	1:1
26.09.21	Nola - Nardo	2:1
05.05.19	Nardo - Nola	2:0

Nola - Nardo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide