The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Narva Trans U21 53.5%
Draw 18.7%
Viljandi Tulevik 27.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
65.5%
17.9%
16.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
68.3%
17.2%
15.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Narva Trans U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Narva Trans U21's form might have worsened.
Viljandi Tulevik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Viljandi Tulevik's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Narva Trans U21 than the current prediction. (+14.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Narva Trans U21, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viljandi Tulevik than the current prediction. (-12%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Viljandi Tulevik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Simuste T. ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, Kudriashov V. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+6', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Narva U21 is Qualified for Esiliiga.
Narva U21 has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Tulevik shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Tulevik could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Narva U21 has faced a series of away games on the road.
Narva U21 carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Our forecast points to a victory for Narva U21 in today's match, at odds of 1.37.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Narva U21 has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:8 (averaging 2.2:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Narva U21 against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 6:3 goals (averaging 3:1.5 per game).
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