Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 18

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday


	Narva Trans U21		Viljandi Tulevik

	1	X	2
	1.82	4.10	3.10
	1.47	4.85	4.55
	1.45	5.44	5.02
	1.52	5.19	4.16	Watch
	1.35	5.35	4.95
	1.48	5.1	4.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.98)	5.01 ↑ (4.1)	4.44 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Narva Trans U21
60.8%

Draw
18.4%

Viljandi Tulevik
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

22.1%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

21.4%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Narva Trans U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Narva Trans U21's performance.

Viljandi Tulevik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Viljandi Tulevik might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Narva Trans U21 than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Narva Trans U21 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viljandi Tulevik than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Viljandi Tulevik could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Narva Trans U21 - Viljandi Tulevik Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Narva U21 will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4.25 - over (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
69', 1 - 0, ⚽,
78', 1 - 1, ⚽,
89', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 4 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Esiliiga)

Now, both teams are in good form.

Recently, Tulevik has had a series of home games.

Narva U21 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Narva U21 won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Narva U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Narva U21	30	20	3	7	71:36	35	63
5	Tulevik	31	14	5	12	81:64	17	47

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Narva Trans U21
Estonian Esiliiga B
22.06.26	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Narva Trans U21	2:3 ✺
18.06.26	Narva Trans U21 - Tartu Kalev	3:2 ✺
31.05.26	Narva Trans U21 - Tabasalu	5:0 ✺
28.05.26	Narva Trans U21 - Jõhvi Phoenix	1:1 ✺
24.05.26	Tammeka U21 - Narva Trans U21	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWTL
- JK Viljandi Tulevik
Estonian Esiliiga B
22.06.26	Viljandi Tulevik - Tammeka U21	2:2 ✺
19.06.26	Viljandi Tulevik - Levadia U19	2:3 ✺
13.06.26	Tartu Kalev - Viljandi Tulevik	3:4 ✺
06.06.26	Viljandi Tulevik - Jõhvi Phoenix	4:2 ✺
28.05.26	Viljandi Tulevik - Pärnu Vaprus U21	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
19.04.26	Viljandi Tulevik - Narva Trans U21	1:1
10.11.24	Narva Trans U21 - Viljandi Tulevik	4:2
21.07.24	Viljandi Tulevik - Narva Trans U21	1:1

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