Match Info

Azadegan League - Round 22

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Navad Urmia		Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman

	1	X	2
	3.78	2.89	2.10	Watch
	3.5	2.83	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↑ (3.35)	2.86 ↑ (2.82)	2.11 ↓ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Navad Urmia
25%

Draw
31.8%

Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman
43.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.1%

32.3%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

31.4%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Navad Urmia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navad Urmia than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Navad Urmia - Mes Shahr e Babak Kerman Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mes Shahr-e Babak (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Persian Gulf Pro League).

Navad Urmia is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Mes Shahr-e Babak is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Mes Shahr-e Babak might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Navad Urmia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Navad Urmia
Iran Division 1
08.02.26	Damash Gilan - Navad Urmia	2:1 ✺
02.02.26	Navad Urmia - Naft va Gaz Gachsaran	1:1 ✺
27.01.26	Besat Kermanshah - Navad Urmia	Besat Kermanshah awarded ✺
21.01.26	Navad Urmia - Niroye Zamini	0:3 ✺
03.01.26	SaiPa - Navad Urmia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LT?LL
- Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman
Iran Division 1
09.02.26	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - Ario Eslamshahr	1:0 ✺
02.02.26	Fard Alborz - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	1:1 ✺
27.01.26	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - Havadar	3:0 ✺
21.01.26	Pars Jonoubi Jam - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	2:2 ✺
03.01.26	Mes Sungun - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
24.09.25	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - Navad Urmia	1:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman
Iran Pro League
31.10.26	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - Paykan	✺

Navad Urmia - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman