Match Info

Azadegan League - Round 20

Date: 2 February 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Navad Urmia		Naft va Gaz Gachsaran

	1	X	2
	2.63	2.57	2.82
	2.77	2.56	2.97	Watch
	2.86	2.31	3.04	Watch
	2.71	2.54	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↓ (2.77)	2.5 ↓ (2.56)	2.92 ↓ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Navad Urmia
32.9%

Draw
36.2%

Naft va Gaz Gachsaran
30.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.2%

35.9%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

35.2%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Navad Urmia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

The chances for Naft va Gaz Gachsaran have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navad Urmia than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naft va Gaz Gachsaran than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Navad Urmia - Naft va Gaz Gachsaran Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Navad Urmia will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 14).

Navad Urmia is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Naft Gachsaran has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Navad Urmia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Naft Gachsaran	7	2	3	2	6:5	1	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Navad Urmia
Iran Division 1
27.01.26	Besat Kermanshah - Navad Urmia	Besat Kermanshah awarded ✺
21.01.26	Navad Urmia - Niroye Zamini	0:3 ✺
03.01.26	SaiPa - Navad Urmia	1:0 ✺
26.12.25	Navad Urmia - Mes Kerman	1:1 ✺
12.12.25	Sanat Naft - Navad Urmia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 ?LLTL
- Naft va Gaz Gachsaran
Iran Division 1
27.01.26	Naft va Gaz Gachsaran - Fard Alborz	1:1 ✺
21.01.26	Ario Eslamshahr - Naft va Gaz Gachsaran	0:0 ✺
27.12.25	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - Naft va Gaz Gachsaran	1:1 ✺
Iran Hazfi Cup
21.12.25	Naft va Gaz Gachsaran - Paykan	0:1 ✺
Iran Division 1
13.12.25	Mes Sungun - Naft va Gaz Gachsaran	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
11.09.25	Naft va Gaz Gachsaran - Navad Urmia	1:0

Navad Urmia - Naft va Gaz Gachsaran