Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 12

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Municipal Jose Bento Pessoa (Figueira da Foz)


	Naval		Os Marialvas

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.1	3.55
	1.91	3.06	3.87
	1.98	3.11	3.77	Watch
	1.98	3.1	3.66
	1.96	3	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.92)	3.07 ↓ (3.3)	3.72 ↑ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naval
46.2%

Draw
29.5%

Os Marialvas
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

27.5%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

26.1%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naval has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Os Marialvas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naval than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Os Marialvas than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Naval - Os Marialvas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 9).

Naval is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Marialvas has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Naval could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naval
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
07.12.25	Lajense - Naval	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	Mortágua - Naval	2:2 ✺
09.11.25	Naval - Fatima	3:0 ✺
02.11.25	Samora Correia - Naval	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Naval - Peniche	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTWTW
- CF Os Marialvas
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
07.12.25	Os Marialvas - Mortágua	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	Fatima - Os Marialvas	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Os Marialvas - Samora Correia	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Peniche - Os Marialvas	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Os Marialvas - Oliveira Hospital	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLWWL

Naval - Os Marialvas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide