Match Info

Date: 31 March 2024, Sunday


	Naval Reinosa		Velarde

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.5	4.33
	1.68	3.6	4.5
	1.67	3.52	4.71
	1.68	3.6	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 (1.67)	3.56 ↑ (3.52)	4.51 ↓ (4.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naval Reinosa
54.3%

Draw
25.6%

Velarde
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

25.9%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

25.2%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naval Reinosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Velarde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naval Reinosa than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Velarde than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Velarde could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Naval Reinosa is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Naval Reinosa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naval Reinosa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
28.03.24	Naval Reinosa - Tropezón	1:2 ✺
24.03.24	Sámano - Naval Reinosa	0:1 ✺
17.03.24	Naval Reinosa - Guarnizo	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	Cartes - Naval Reinosa	0:1 ✺
25.02.24	Solares-Medio Cudeyo - Naval Reinosa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWTWT
- Velarde CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
23.03.24	Velarde - Castro	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Atlético Albericia - Velarde	4:0 ✺
09.03.24	Velarde - Laredo	0:1 ✺
02.03.24	Velarde - Sámano	1:1 ✺
25.02.24	Guarnizo - Velarde	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
11.11.23	Velarde - Naval Reinosa	1:1
25.08.18	Velarde - Naval Reinosa	2:0

Naval Reinosa - Velarde: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide